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OtherMulti-outcomeExpires Apr 24, 2026

Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-24?

Probability

52¢

1h

+0.0pp

24h

-1.0pp

24h Vol

$845.5K

Liquidity

$770.8K

Probability (last 7 days)

-1.0pp 7d
Apr 17, 2026, 19:00Apr 24, 2026, 18:10
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB

Why did it move?

 

Without an Anthropic API key we show a heuristic summary derived from the market metrics.

Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves

AllTradesSignalsPrice
  • 19:00Resolve

    Market resolves in 0.8h

    HIGH
  • 18:10Signal

    Signal · Clustered NO flow

    25 trades ($5,882) aligned on NO across 22 wallets in the last 30 min.

    HIGH
  • 18:10Signal

    Signal · Resolution risk

    Expires in 1h with open resolution ambiguity.

    LOW
  • 18:07Trade

    Motionless-Artifact · SELL YES $5.3K

    @ 88¢

    MEDIUM
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB·Polymarket Data

Active signals

Recent Trades

25
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket Data

Market Description

In the upcoming game, scheduled for April 24, 2026 If Real Madrid CF wins, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Resolution & Risk

HIGH risk
End date
Apr 24, 2026
Resolution source
https://www.laliga.com/
UMA status
n/a
Market type
Multi-outcome (neg-risk)
  • Part of a multi-outcome event (neg-risk): only one market can resolve YES.
  • Market expires Apr 24, 2026 — dispute window active.
Read full market rules on Polymarket

Alerts

¢
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