Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-24?
Probability
52¢
1h
+0.0pp
24h
-1.0pp
24h Vol
$845.5K
Liquidity
$770.8K
Probability (last 7 days)
-1.0pp 7dWhy did it move?
Without an Anthropic API key we show a heuristic summary derived from the market metrics.
Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves
- 19:00ResolveHIGH
Market resolves in 0.8h
- 18:10SignalHIGH
Signal · Clustered NO flow
25 trades ($5,882) aligned on NO across 22 wallets in the last 30 min.
- 18:10SignalLOW
Signal · Resolution risk
Expires in 1h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 18:07TradeMEDIUM
Motionless-Artifact · SELL YES $5.3K
@ 88¢
Active signals
Recent Trades
25- SELLUP3m ago
- BUYNATUS VINCERE3m ago
- BUYDOWN3m ago
- BUYDOWN3m ago
- BUYDOWN3m ago
- SELLYES3m ago
- BUYYES3m ago
- BUYDOWN3m ago
- BUYDOWN3m ago
- BUYDOWN3m ago
- BUYNATUS VINCERE3m ago
- BUYYES3m ago
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Market Description
In the upcoming game, scheduled for April 24, 2026 If Real Madrid CF wins, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Resolution & Risk
HIGH risk- End date
- Apr 24, 2026
- Resolution source
- https://www.laliga.com/
- UMA status
- n/a
- Market type
- Multi-outcome (neg-risk)
- Part of a multi-outcome event (neg-risk): only one market can resolve YES.
- Market expires Apr 24, 2026 — dispute window active.
Alerts
In-app banners work now. Email / Telegram / Discord delivery lands when the backend alert dispatcher ships (needs RESEND_API_KEY + per-user webhook storage).
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