Will RC Celta de Vigo win on 2026-05-03?
Probability
51¢
1h
+0.5pp
24h
+0.0pp
24h Vol
$7.49
Liquidity
$3.6K
Probability (last 7 days)
+0.0pp 7dWhy did it move?
Structured · 1 factor- 1
Thin liquidity
Only $3.6k of visible book — small orders can move the line. Treat the probability as a soft estimate.
What to track next
- Set an alert at the next ±5pp probability move so you find out before the next leg.
- Add to your watchlist — Home will show probability deltas since your last visit.
- Compare against sibling markets in the same event below — divergent pricing across related contracts is the cleanest tell.
Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.
Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.
AI prose summary
Prose narration of the same metrics shown in the structured breakdown above. Cites only the market data on this page — no news, no predictions. Use the structured factors as the canonical answer; this is here for readability.
Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves
- 0s agoResolveLOW
Market resolves in 190.5h
- 13:32PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 10.5pp
to 51¢
- 12:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 9.0pp
to 50¢
- 11:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 8.5pp
to 50¢
- 09:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 7.5pp
to 50¢
- 08:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 12.0pp
to 50¢
- 06:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 10.5pp
to 50¢
- 05:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 10.0pp
to 50¢
- 03:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 9.0pp
to 50¢
- 02:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 9.5pp
to 50¢
- 00:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 7.0pp
to 50¢
- 23:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 11.5pp
to 50¢
- 21:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 10.5pp
to 50¢
- 20:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 10.0pp
to 50¢
- 18:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 10.0pp
to 51¢
- 17:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 9.5pp
to 51¢
- 16:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 9.0pp
to 51¢
- 14:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 8.0pp
to 51¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 13.5pp
to 52¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 9.5pp
to 48¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 6.5pp
to 46¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 10.0pp
to 50¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 6.5pp
to 48¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 5.0pp
to 48¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 7.5pp
to 48¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 7.0pp
to 48¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 5.5pp
to 48¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 4.0pp
to 48¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 6.5pp
to 48¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 5.5pp
to 49¢
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.
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Market Description
In the upcoming game, scheduled for May 3, 2026 If RC Celta de Vigo wins, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Resolution & Risk
LOW risk- End date
- May 3, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- https://www.laliga.com/News consensus
- Market type
- Multi-outcome (neg-risk)
- Part of a multi-outcome event (neg-risk): only one market can resolve YES.
Alerts
In-app banners work now. Email / Telegram / Discord delivery lands when the backend alert dispatcher ships (needs RESEND_API_KEY + per-user webhook storage).