Will RCD Espanyol de Barcelona win on 2026-05-03?
Probability
22¢
1h
+0.0pp
24h
+0.5pp
24h Vol
$36.40
Liquidity
$5.5K
Probability (last 7 days)
+0.0pp 7dWhy did it move?
Structured · 1 factor- 1
Thin liquidity
Only $5.5k of visible book — small orders can move the line. Treat the probability as a soft estimate.
Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.
AI prose summary
Prose narration of the same metrics shown in the structured breakdown above. Cites only the market data on this page — no news, no predictions. Use the structured factors as the canonical answer; this is here for readability.
Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves
- 0s agoResolveLOW
Market resolves in 198.1h
- 12:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -17.0pp
to 22¢
- 11:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -18.5pp
to 22¢
- 09:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -19.5pp
to 22¢
- 08:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -10.5pp
to 22¢
- 06:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -10.5pp
to 23¢
- 05:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -12.5pp
to 22¢
- 03:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -13.5pp
to 22¢
- 02:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -14.0pp
to 22¢
- 00:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -9.0pp
to 22¢
- 23:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 3.0pp
to 21¢
- 21:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 4.5pp
to 21¢
- 20:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 5.0pp
to 20¢
- 18:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -10.5pp
to 21¢
- 17:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -14.0pp
to 22¢
- 16:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -13.0pp
to 22¢
- 14:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -15.5pp
to 22¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -15.5pp
to 23¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -10.0pp
to 28¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -19.0pp
to 21¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -18.5pp
to 22¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -20.0pp
to 23¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -15.5pp
to 23¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -18.0pp
to 23¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -19.0pp
to 23¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -18.5pp
to 25¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -19.5pp
to 26¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -20.0pp
to 28¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -13.5pp
to 28¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -15.0pp
to 28¢
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.
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Market Description
In the upcoming game, scheduled for May 3, 2026 If RCD Espanyol de Barcelona wins, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Resolution & Risk
LOW risk- End date
- May 3, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- https://www.laliga.com/News consensus
- Market type
- Multi-outcome (neg-risk)
- Part of a multi-outcome event (neg-risk): only one market can resolve YES.
Alerts
In-app banners work now. Email / Telegram / Discord delivery lands when the backend alert dispatcher ships (needs RESEND_API_KEY + per-user webhook storage).