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OtherMulti-outcomeExpires Apr 25, 2026

Will Getafe CF win on 2026-04-25?

Probability

1h

-4.5pp

24h

-16.4pp

24h Vol

$217.4K

Liquidity

$121.9K

Probability (last 7 days)

-17.4pp 7d
Apr 18, 2026, 17:00Apr 25, 2026, 16:13
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB

Why did it move?

Structured · 5 factors
  1. 1

    Down 16pp over 24h

    Now 0¢; -4.5pp in the last hour.

  2. 2

    Heavy volume on this book — 1.8× turnover

    $217.4k traded against $121.9k of visible liquidity. The book is being worked, not just quoted.

  3. 3

    Momentum signal firing

    Probability moved down 16.4pp in 24h with 1.8× liquidity turnover and a tight spread.

  4. 4

    Resolution-risk signal firing

    Market has reached expiry. Watch the UMA dispute window.

  5. 5

    Past expiry — awaiting resolution

    Market is past its end date. Any price move now is a settlement / dispute artefact, not new information.

What to track next

  • Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.
  • Wait for the UMA proposal to settle (current status: proposed) — price moves now reflect oracle dynamics, not odds.

Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.

Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.

AI prose summary

 

Prose narration of the same metrics shown in the structured breakdown above. Cites only the market data on this page — no news, no predictions. Use the structured factors as the canonical answer; this is here for readability.

Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves

AllTradesSignalsPrice
  • 16:14Signal

    Signal · Momentum down

    Probability moved down 16.4pp in 24h with 1.8× liquidity turnover and a tight spread.

    HIGH
  • 16:14Signal

    Signal · Resolution risk

    Market has reached expiry. Watch the UMA dispute window.

    MEDIUM
  • 16:00Price

    Probability down -16.4pp

    to 0¢

    MEDIUM
  • 14:15Resolve

    Market resolved 2h ago

    HIGH
  • 08:00Price

    Probability up 3.0pp

    to 17¢

    MEDIUM
  • 06:00Price

    Probability up 3.0pp

    to 17¢

    MEDIUM
  • 05:00Price

    Probability up 3.0pp

    to 17¢

    MEDIUM
  • 03:00Price

    Probability up 3.0pp

    to 17¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability up 3.0pp

    to 18¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability up 3.0pp

    to 18¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability up 3.0pp

    to 18¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability up 3.0pp

    to 18¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability up 3.0pp

    to 18¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability up 3.0pp

    to 18¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability up 3.0pp

    to 17¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability up 3.0pp

    to 17¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability up 3.0pp

    to 17¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability up 3.0pp

    to 17¢

    MEDIUM
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB·Polymarket Data

Active signals

Recent Trades

No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.

updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket Data

Market Description

In the upcoming game, scheduled for April 25, 2026 If Getafe CF wins, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Resolution & Risk

HIGH risk
End date
Apr 25, 2026
UMA status
proposed
Resolution source
https://www.laliga.com/News consensus
Market type
Multi-outcome (neg-risk)
  • UMA status: proposed
  • Part of a multi-outcome event (neg-risk): only one market can resolve YES.
  • Market expires Apr 25, 2026 — dispute window active.
Read full market rules on Polymarket

Alerts

¢
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