SportsExpires May 9, 2026
Creator

Spread: RC Celta de Vigo (-2.5)

Probability

3¢

1h

+0.0pp

24h

-8.5pp

24h Vol

$26.42

Liquidity

$517.73

Resolution & Risk

LOW risk
End date
May 9, 2026
UMA status
n/a
Resolution source
Primary
official statistics
Link
laliga.com
Type
Official statistics
Market type
Binary
  • No obvious resolution-risk signals in metadata.
Read full market rules on Polymarket

Probability (last 7 days)

-7.5pp 7d
Apr 27, 2026, 11:00May 4, 2026, 10:00
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB

Why did it move?

Structured · 2 factors
  • 01
    Price move

    Down 9pp over 24h

    Now 3¢; flat in the last hour.

  • 02
    Liquidity

    Thin liquidity

    Only $518 of visible book — small orders can move the line. Treat the probability as a soft estimate.

What to track next

  • Set an alert if probability recovers above 8¢ — that's where this move would be reversing.
  • Add to your watchlist — Home will show probability deltas since your last visit.
  • Compare against sibling markets in the same event below — divergent pricing across related contracts is the cleanest tell.

Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.

Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.

Timeline

critical · price · trade flow

Critical

  • 0s agoResolve

    Market resolves in 125.8h

    LOW

Price movement

-8.5pp over the last 24h, now 3¢.

Biggest hourly move: -38.0pp at 3d ago (to 12¢).

Show top 8 of 22 hourly moves
  • 10:00 · -10.5pp → 3¢
  • 09:00 · -10.0pp → 3¢
  • 08:00 · -7.0pp → 3¢
  • 06:00 · -6.0pp → 3¢
  • 05:00 · -6.0pp → 3¢
  • 03:00 · -5.5pp → 3¢
  • 02:00 · +4.5pp → 13¢
  • 3d ago · -38.0pp → 12¢
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB·Polymarket Data

Recent Trades

No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market. That usually means liquidity is thin or this market is between event windows.

Open whale feedBrowse related marketsAlert me on the next trade
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket Data

Related Markets

14
Same eventClub Atlético de Madrid vs. RC Celta de Vigo - More Markets
Category · Sports

Market Description

In the upcoming La Liga game, scheduled for May 9 at 12:30 PM ET: This market will resolve to "RC Celta de Vigo" if RC Celta de Vigo win the game by 3 or more goals. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Club Atlético de Madrid". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50–50. This market will resolve according to the official final score published on laliga.com. This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Alerts

¢
Deliver

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Top Holders

12 wallets
Open on Polymarket