UnclassifiedMulti-outcomeExpires Apr 26, 2026

Exact Score: CA Osasuna 5 - 1 Sevilla FC?

Probability

1h

+0.3pp

24h

-0.1pp

24h Vol

$5.00

Liquidity

$1.4K

Probability (last 7 days)

-46.6pp 7d
Apr 19, 2026, 01:00Apr 26, 2026, 00:39
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB

Why did it move?

Structured · 3 factors
  • 1

    Resolution-risk signal firing

    Expires in 16h with open resolution ambiguity.

  • 2

    Thin liquidity

    Only $1.4k of visible book — small orders can move the line. Treat the probability as a soft estimate.

  • 3

    Expiry in 16h

    Market resolves within 72 hours — the move likely reflects information about the resolution event itself rather than longer-horizon repricing. Verify the resolution source.

What to track next

  • Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.
  • Set an alert for resolution status changes — expiry is in 16 hours.

Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.

Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.

Timeline

critical · price · trade flow

Critical

  • 16:30Resolve

    Market resolves in 15.8h

    HIGH
  • 00:39Signal

    Resolution risk

    Expires in 16h with open resolution ambiguity.

    LOW

Price movement

-0.1pp over the last 24h, now 2¢.

Biggest hourly move: -47.0pp at 2d ago (to 2¢).

Show top 8 of 36 hourly moves
  • 2d ago · -46.0pp → 2¢
  • 2d ago · -46.5pp → 2¢
  • 2d ago · -46.5pp → 2¢
  • 2d ago · -47.0pp → 2¢
  • 2d ago · -45.1pp → 3¢
  • 3d ago · -45.6pp → 3¢
  • 3d ago · -45.6pp → 3¢
  • 3d ago · -45.6pp → 3¢
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB·Polymarket Data

Active signals

Recent Trades

No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.

updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket Data

Market Description

In the upcoming La Liga game between CA Osasuna and Sevilla FC, scheduled for April 26, 2026 at 12:30 PM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the CA Osasuna vs. Sevilla FC match originally scheduled for April 26, 2026 at 12:30 PM ET, considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. If the actual score is not one of the explicitly listed outcomes, the market resolves to "Any Other Score." If the match is postponed, the market will remain open until it is completed; if it is canceled with no make-up game, the market resolves to "0-0." The primary resolution source for this market will be the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if final official statistics are not published within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Resolution & Risk

HIGH risk
End date
Apr 26, 2026
UMA status
n/a
Resolution source
Primary
official statistics
Type
Official statistics
Confidence
extracted · high
Market type
Multi-outcome (neg-risk)
  • Part of a multi-outcome event (neg-risk): only one market can resolve YES.
  • Market expires Apr 26, 2026 — dispute window active.
Read full market rules on Polymarket

Alerts

¢
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