Will Real Oviedo win on 2026-05-10?
Probability
32¢
1h
+1.0pp
24h
-2.5pp
24h Vol
$2.1K
Liquidity
$542.9K
Resolution & Risk
LOW risk- End date
- May 10, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- Market type
- Multi-outcome (neg-risk)
- Part of a multi-outcome event (neg-risk): only one market can resolve YES.
Probability (last 7 days)
-2.0pp 7dWhy did it move?
Structured · 2 factors- 01Price move
Down 3pp over 24h
Now 32¢; +1.0pp in the last hour.
- 02Active signal
Divergence signal firing
Price is moving against its 24h trend — 1h +1.0pp vs. 24h -2.5pp.
What to track next
- Set an alert at the next ±5pp probability move so you find out before the next leg.
- Add to your watchlist — Home will show probability deltas since your last visit.
- Watch the 1h vs 24h trend on the chart above — divergence resolves either by 1h reverting to the 24h direction or by the 24h trend flipping.
Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.
Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.
Resolution & Risk
LOW risk- End date
- May 10, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- Market type
- Multi-outcome (neg-risk)
- Part of a multi-outcome event (neg-risk): only one market can resolve YES.
Timeline
critical · price · trade flowCritical
- 0s agoResolveLOW
Market resolves in 148.6h
- 11:56SignalMEDIUM
Short-term vs. trend divergence
Price is moving against its 24h trend — 1h +1.0pp vs. 24h -2.5pp.
Price movement
-2.5pp over the last 24h, now 32¢.
Biggest hourly move: -5.5pp at 22:00 (to 28¢).
Show top 8 of 12 hourly moves
- 10:00 · -5.5pp → 28¢
- 09:00 · -5.5pp → 28¢
- 08:00 · -5.5pp → 28¢
- 06:00 · -5.5pp → 28¢
- 05:00 · -5.5pp → 28¢
- 03:00 · -5.5pp → 28¢
- 02:00 · -5.5pp → 28¢
- 00:00 · -5.5pp → 28¢
Active signals
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market. That usually means liquidity is thin or this market is between event windows.
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Market Description
In the upcoming game, scheduled for May 10, 2026 If Real Oviedo wins, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Alerts
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