Exact Score: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid 5 - 0 Real Sociedad de Fútbol?
Probability
2¢
1h
+0.0pp
24h
-0.2pp
24h Vol
$5.00
Liquidity
$1.1K
Probability (last 7 days)
-46.8pp 7dWhy did it move?
Structured · 3 factors- 1
Resolution-risk signal firing
Expires in 8h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 2
Thin liquidity
Only $1.1k of visible book — small orders can move the line. Treat the probability as a soft estimate.
- 3
Expiry in 8h
Market resolves within 72 hours — the move likely reflects information about the resolution event itself rather than longer-horizon repricing. Verify the resolution source.
What to track next
- Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.
- Set an alert for resolution status changes — expiry is in 8 hours.
Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.
Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.
Timeline
critical · price · trade flowCritical
- 12:00ResolveHIGH
Market resolves in 7.6h
- 04:21SignalLOW
Resolution risk
Expires in 8h with open resolution ambiguity.
Price movement
-0.2pp over the last 24h, now 2¢.
Biggest hourly move: -45.0pp at 4d ago (to 4¢).
Show 2 hourly moves
- 4d ago · -45.0pp → 4¢
- 4d ago · -45.0pp → 4¢
Active signals
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.
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Market Description
In the upcoming La Liga game between Rayo Vallecano de Madrid and Real Sociedad de Fútbol, scheduled for April 26, 2026 at 8:00 AM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol match originally scheduled for April 26, 2026 at 8:00 AM ET, considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. If the actual score is not one of the explicitly listed outcomes, the market resolves to "Any Other Score." If the match is postponed, the market will remain open until it is completed; if it is canceled with no make-up game, the market resolves to "0-0." The primary resolution source for this market will be the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if final official statistics are not published within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Resolution & Risk
HIGH risk- End date
- Apr 26, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- Primaryofficial statisticsTypeOfficial statisticsConfidenceextracted · high
- Market type
- Multi-outcome (neg-risk)
- Part of a multi-outcome event (neg-risk): only one market can resolve YES.
- Market expires Apr 26, 2026 — dispute window active.
Alerts
In-app banners fire as soon as a rule is satisfied. Email, Telegram, and Discord delivery are coming soon — every existing rule will keep working without changes.