Will Sevilla FC win on 2026-05-13?
Probability
25¢
1h
-0.5pp
24h
-9.0pp
24h Vol
$0.00
Liquidity
$552.7K
Resolution & Risk
LOW risk- End date
- May 13, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- Market type
- Multi-outcome (neg-risk)
- Part of a multi-outcome event (neg-risk): only one market can resolve YES.
Probability (last 7 days)
+0.0pp 7dWhy did it move?
Structured · 2 factors- 01Price move
Down 9pp over 24h
Now 25¢; -0.5pp in the last hour.
- 02Active signal
Momentum signal firing
Probability moved down 9.0pp in 24h with 0.0× liquidity turnover and a tight spread.
What to track next
- Set an alert if probability recovers above 30¢ — that's where this move would be reversing.
- Add to your watchlist — Home will show probability deltas since your last visit.
- Watch the next 6–24 hours: momentum signals historically extend on this kind of setup but pay spread on entry. Compare to /backtest for the rule's historical performance.
Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.
Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.
Resolution & Risk
LOW risk- End date
- May 13, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- Market type
- Multi-outcome (neg-risk)
- Part of a multi-outcome event (neg-risk): only one market can resolve YES.
Timeline
critical · price · trade flowCritical
- 0s agoResolveLOW
Market resolves in 213.1h
- 19:51SignalMEDIUM
Momentum down
Probability moved down 9.0pp in 24h with 0.0× liquidity turnover and a tight spread.
Price movement
-9.0pp over the last 24h, now 25¢.
Biggest hourly move: -13.5pp at 2d ago (to 32¢).
Show top 8 of 30 hourly moves
- 07:00 · -12.0pp → 24¢
- 06:00 · -12.0pp → 24¢
- 05:00 · -12.0pp → 24¢
- 03:00 · -12.0pp → 24¢
- 21:00 · -11.5pp → 24¢
- 2d ago · -13.5pp → 32¢
- 2d ago · -12.5pp → 32¢
- 2d ago · -12.0pp → 33¢
Active signals
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market. That usually means liquidity is thin or this market is between event windows.
Related Markets
8- 100¢0.0
Will a U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the United States occur by April 30, 2026?
Other · Vol $6.3M
- 100¢+0.1
QatarEnergy announces/resumes LNG production in Qatar by April 30?
Other · Vol $5.0M
- 100¢0.0
Internazionali BNL d'Italia, Qualification: Rinky Hijikata vs Pierluigi Basile
Other · Vol $610.9K
- 0¢0.0
Internazionali BNL d'Italia, Qualification: Adolfo Vallejo vs Jaime Faria
Other · Vol $383.9K
- 1¢-50.4
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 4?
Other · Vol $292.3K
- 84¢0.0
Internazionali BNL d'Italia, Qualification: Taylor Townsend vs Rebecca Sramkova
Other · Vol $288.0K
Market Description
In the upcoming game, scheduled for May 13, 2026 If Sevilla FC wins, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Alerts
In-app banners fire as soon as a rule is satisfied. Email, Telegram, and Discord delivery are coming soon — every existing rule will keep working without changes.
Top Holders
No holder data from the Data API.