Larry Wheels divorce by June 30?
Probability
35¢
1h
+0.0pp
24h
+13.0pp
24h Vol
$1.53
Liquidity
$1.3K
Probability (last 7 days)
+6.8pp 7dWhy did it move?
Structured · 3 factors- 1
Up 13pp over 24h
Now 35¢; flat in the last hour.
- 2
Resolution-risk signal firing
Expires in 1568h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 3
Wide spread — 18.0¢
Bid-ask spread is wide enough that intraday moves overstate any tradeable edge. Most of the headline pp move would be eaten by spread on a market order.
What to track next
- Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.
Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.
Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.
AI prose summary
Prose narration of the same metrics shown in the structured breakdown above. Cites only the market data on this page — no news, no predictions. Use the structured factors as the canonical answer; this is here for readability.
Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves
- 0s agoResolveLOW
Market resolves in 1568.0h
- 15:58SignalLOW
Signal · Resolution risk
Expires in 1568h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 15:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 6.2pp
to 35¢
- 14:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 6.0pp
to 35¢
- 12:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 5.6pp
to 35¢
- 11:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 5.6pp
to 35¢
- 20:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 5.7pp
to 28¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 4.3pp
to 22¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 3.7pp
to 23¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -5.9pp
to 22¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -6.8pp
to 22¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -6.8pp
to 22¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -6.8pp
to 22¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -6.8pp
to 22¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -6.8pp
to 22¢
Active signals
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.
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Market Description
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Larry Wheels and/or his spouse announce their intention to divorce by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". An announcement by the specified date of their intention to divorce will be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the divorce later actually occurs, or whether the actual divorce occurs outside of the timeframe of this market. The resolution source will be statements from Larry Wheels and/or his spouse, and their representatives, however a definitive consensus of credible media reporting may be considered.
Resolution & Risk
MEDIUM risk- End date
- Jun 30, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- Not specified in metadata
- Market type
- Binary
- No primary resolution source listed — read the full market rules before acting.
- Wide spread (18.0¢) — liquidity risk on entry/exit.
Alerts
In-app banners work now. Email / Telegram / Discord delivery lands when the backend alert dispatcher ships (needs RESEND_API_KEY + per-user webhook storage).