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OtherExpires Jun 30, 2026

Larry Wheels divorce by June 30?

Probability

35¢

1h

+0.0pp

24h

+13.0pp

24h Vol

$1.53

Liquidity

$1.3K

Probability (last 7 days)

+6.8pp 7d
Apr 18, 2026, 18:00Apr 25, 2026, 15:58
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB

Why did it move?

Structured · 3 factors
  1. 1

    Up 13pp over 24h

    Now 35¢; flat in the last hour.

  2. 2

    Resolution-risk signal firing

    Expires in 1568h with open resolution ambiguity.

  3. 3

    Wide spread — 18.0¢

    Bid-ask spread is wide enough that intraday moves overstate any tradeable edge. Most of the headline pp move would be eaten by spread on a market order.

What to track next

  • Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.

Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.

Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.

AI prose summary

 

Prose narration of the same metrics shown in the structured breakdown above. Cites only the market data on this page — no news, no predictions. Use the structured factors as the canonical answer; this is here for readability.

Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves

AllTradesSignalsPrice
  • 0s agoResolve

    Market resolves in 1568.0h

    LOW
  • 15:58Signal

    Signal · Resolution risk

    Expires in 1568h with open resolution ambiguity.

    LOW
  • 15:00Price

    Probability up 6.2pp

    to 35¢

    MEDIUM
  • 14:00Price

    Probability up 6.0pp

    to 35¢

    MEDIUM
  • 12:00Price

    Probability up 5.6pp

    to 35¢

    MEDIUM
  • 11:00Price

    Probability up 5.6pp

    to 35¢

    MEDIUM
  • 20:00Price

    Probability up 5.7pp

    to 28¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability up 4.3pp

    to 22¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability up 3.7pp

    to 23¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability down -5.9pp

    to 22¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability down -6.8pp

    to 22¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability down -6.8pp

    to 22¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability down -6.8pp

    to 22¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability down -6.8pp

    to 22¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability down -6.8pp

    to 22¢

    MEDIUM
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB·Polymarket Data

Active signals

Recent Trades

No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.

updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket Data

Market Description

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Larry Wheels and/or his spouse announce their intention to divorce by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". An announcement by the specified date of their intention to divorce will be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the divorce later actually occurs, or whether the actual divorce occurs outside of the timeframe of this market. The resolution source will be statements from Larry Wheels and/or his spouse, and their representatives, however a definitive consensus of credible media reporting may be considered.

Resolution & Risk

MEDIUM risk
End date
Jun 30, 2026
UMA status
n/a
Resolution source
Not specified in metadata
Market type
Binary
  • No primary resolution source listed — read the full market rules before acting.
  • Wide spread (18.0¢) — liquidity risk on entry/exit.
Read full market rules on Polymarket

Alerts

¢
Deliver

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