Game Handicap: C9 (-1.5) vs Shopify Rebellion (+1.5)
Probability
57¢
1h
+1.5pp
24h
+8.5pp
24h Vol
$1.3K
Liquidity
$16.2K
Probability (last 7 days)
+0.0pp 7dWhy did it move?
Structured · 4 factors- 1
Up 9pp over 24h
Now 57¢; +1.5pp in the last hour.
- 2
Resolution-risk signal firing
Expires in 11h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 3
Thin liquidity
Only $16.2k of visible book — small orders can move the line. Treat the probability as a soft estimate.
- 4
Expiry in 11h
Market resolves within 72 hours — the move likely reflects information about the resolution event itself rather than longer-horizon repricing. Verify the resolution source.
What to track next
- Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.
- Set an alert for resolution status changes — expiry is in 11 hours.
Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.
Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.
Timeline
critical · price · trade flowCritical
- 05:00ResolveHIGH
Market resolves in 10.5h
- 18:29SignalLOW
Resolution risk
Expires in 11h with open resolution ambiguity.
Price movement
+8.5pp over the last 24h, now 57¢.
Biggest hourly move: +7.5pp at 18:29 (to 57¢).
Show all 15 hour-by-hour ticks
- 18:29 · +7.5pp → 57¢
- 17:00 · +5.0pp → 55¢
- 16:00 · +5.0pp → 55¢
- 15:00 · +5.5pp → 55¢
- 13:00 · +5.5pp → 55¢
- 11:00 · +5.5pp → 55¢
- 09:00 · +4.5pp → 54¢
- 08:00 · +5.0pp → 55¢
- 06:00 · +5.0pp → 55¢
- 2d ago · +6.0pp → 56¢
- 2d ago · -3.0pp → 48¢
- 2d ago · -3.0pp → 48¢
- 2d ago · -3.5pp → 48¢
- 2d ago · -3.0pp → 49¢
- 2d ago · -3.0pp → 49¢
Active signals
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.
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Market Description
This market refers to the LoL match between Cloud9 and Shopify Rebellion in the LCS Regular Season, initially scheduled for April 25 at 7:00PM ET. This market will resolve to "Cloud9" if Cloud9 wins 2 or more games than Shopify Rebellion in this match. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Shopify Rebellion". Games won by forfeit, disqualification, walkover, or default are counted towards the handicap, provided that the match is completed. If the match is canceled (not played at all for any reason), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's match forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match ends due to the clinching game being forfeited this will count as a completed match. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.
Resolution & Risk
HIGH risk- End date
- Apr 26, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- consensus of credible reportingNews consensusgol.gg
- Market type
- Binary
- Market expires Apr 26, 2026 — dispute window active.
Alerts
In-app banners fire as soon as a rule is satisfied. Email, Telegram, and Discord delivery are coming soon — every existing rule will keep working without changes.