SportsExpires May 1, 2026
Creator

LoL: Citadel Gaming vs CCG Esports - Game 1 Winner

Probability

40¢

1h

+0.0pp

24h

-10.0pp

24h Vol

$16.3K

Liquidity

$10.7K

Resolution & Risk

HIGH risk
End date
May 1, 2026
UMA status
n/a
Resolution source
Primary
consensus of credible reporting
Link
gol.gg
Type
News consensus
Market type
Binary
  • Market expires May 1, 2026 — dispute window active.
Read full market rules on Polymarket

Probability (last 7 days)

+0.0pp 7d
Apr 26, 2026, 02:00Apr 30, 2026, 20:00
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB

Why did it move?

Structured · 5 factors
  • 01
    Price move

    Down 10pp over 24h

    Now 40¢; flat in the last hour.

  • 02
    Volume pressure

    Heavy volume on this book — 1.5× turnover

    $16.3k traded against $10.7k of visible liquidity. The book is being worked, not just quoted.

  • 03
    Active signal

    Resolution-risk signal firing

    Expires in 7h.

  • 04
    Liquidity

    Thin liquidity

    Only $10.7k of visible book — small orders can move the line. Treat the probability as a soft estimate.

  • 05
    Resolution proximity

    Expiry in 7h

    Market resolves within 72 hours — the move likely reflects information about the resolution event itself rather than longer-horizon repricing. Verify the resolution source.

What to track next

  • Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.
  • Set an alert for resolution status changes — expiry is in 7 hours.

Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.

Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.

Timeline

critical · price · trade flow

Critical

  • 03:00Resolve

    Market resolves in 7.0h

    HIGH
  • 20:01Signal

    Resolution risk

    Expires in 7h.

    LOW

Price movement

-10.0pp over the last 24h, now 40¢.

Biggest hourly move: -19.0pp at 03:00 (to 34¢).

Show top 8 of 13 hourly moves
  • 20:00 · -11.5pp → 40¢
  • 19:00 · -11.5pp → 40¢
  • 11:00 · -11.0pp → 40¢
  • 10:00 · -10.5pp → 40¢
  • 07:00 · -16.0pp → 35¢
  • 06:00 · -16.5pp → 35¢
  • 05:00 · -16.0pp → 36¢
  • 03:00 · -19.0pp → 34¢
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB·Polymarket Data

Active signals

Recent Trades

No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market. That usually means liquidity is thin or this market is between event windows.

Open whale feedBrowse related marketsAlert me on the next trade
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket Data

Related Markets

14
Same eventLoL: Citadel Gaming vs CCG Esports (BO3) - North American Challengers League Regular Season
Category · Sports

Market Description

This market refers to the LoL match between Citadel Gaming and CCG Esports in the North American Challengers League Regular Season, initially scheduled for April 30 at 7:00PM ET. This market will resolve to "Citadel Gaming" if Citadel Gaming win Game 1 against CCG Esports. This market will resolve to "CCG Esports" if CCG Esports win Game 1 against Citadel Gaming. If the match begins but is not completed, and Game 1 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Game 1. If Game 1 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

Alerts

¢
Deliver

In-app banners fire as soon as a rule is satisfied. Email, Telegram, and Discord delivery are coming soon — every existing rule will keep working without changes.

Top Holders

20 wallets
Open on Polymarket