LoL: Kiwoom DRX Challengers vs Hanwha Life Esports Challengers - Game 1 Winner
Probability
60¢
1h
+0.0pp
24h
+0.0pp
24h Vol
$0.00
Liquidity
$12.1K
Canonical status
confidence: highSource status (Polymarket)
Derived status (Orrery)
Reason
Resolves in 8h.
The derived status is computed from the source flags plus the live YES price, so a market trading near a rail can read as PRICE-PINNED while upstream is still active. That isn't the same as resolved.
Resolution & Risk
HIGH risk- End date
- May 7, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- Market type
- Binary
- Market expires May 7, 2026 — dispute window active.
Probability (last 7 days)
+0.0pp 7dWhy did it move?
Structured · 2 factors- 01Active signal
Resolution-risk observation firing
Expires in 8h.
- 02Liquidity
Thin liquidity
Only $12.1k of visible book — small orders can move the line. Treat the probability as a soft estimate.
What to track next
- Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.
- Set an alert for resolution status changes — expiry is in 8 hours.
Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.
Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.
Resolution & Risk
HIGH risk- End date
- May 7, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- Market type
- Binary
- Market expires May 7, 2026 — dispute window active.
Timeline
critical · price · trade flowCritical
- 09:00ResolveHIGH
Market resolves in 8.2h
- 00:46SignalLOW
Resolution risk
Expires in 8h.
Price movement
+0.0pp over the last 24h, now 60¢.
Biggest hourly move: +9.0pp at 2d ago (to 59¢).
Show top 8 of 31 hourly moves
- 1d ago · +8.5pp → 59¢
- 1d ago · +8.5pp → 59¢
- 2d ago · +9.0pp → 59¢
- 2d ago · +9.0pp → 59¢
- 2d ago · +9.0pp → 59¢
- 2d ago · +9.0pp → 59¢
- 2d ago · +9.0pp → 59¢
- 2d ago · +9.0pp → 59¢
Active signals
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market. That usually means liquidity is thin or this market is between event windows.
Related Markets
14- 65¢+1.5
LoL: Kiwoom DRX Challengers vs Hanwha Life Esports Challengers (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 1-2
Sports · Vol $5.4K
- 60¢+2.0
LoL: Kiwoom DRX Challengers vs Hanwha Life Esports Challengers - Game 2 Winner
Sports · Vol $0.00
- 26¢+22.5
Game 1: Any Player Penta Kill?
Sports · Vol $7.57
- 50¢0.0
Game 1: Odd/Even Total Kills?
Sports · Vol $0.00
- 28¢0.0
Game 2: Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor?
Sports · Vol $0.00
- 68¢0.0
Game 2: Both Teams Slay a Dragon?
Sports · Vol $0.00
- 28¢+0.5
Game 2: Any Player Quadra Kill?
Sports · Vol $0.00
- 26¢-0.5
Game 2: Any Player Penta Kill?
Sports · Vol $0.00
Market Description
This market refers to the LoL match between Kiwoom DRX Challengers and Hanwha Life Esports Challengers in the LCK Challengers League Rounds 1-2, initially scheduled for May 7 at 1:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Kiwoom DRX Challengers" if Kiwoom DRX Challengers win Game 1 against Hanwha Life Esports Challengers. This market will resolve to "Hanwha Life Esports Challengers" if Hanwha Life Esports Challengers win Game 1 against Kiwoom DRX Challengers. If the match begins but is not completed, and Game 1 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Game 1. If Game 1 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.
Why this category?
confidence: highCategory
Source
Matched term
lol:Reason
Question text matched the sports hard-marker "lol:" — runs before rules to catch upstream mis-tagging.
Categories come from a deterministic engine: manual overrides (highest priority) → sports hard markers → event-tag rules → keyword rules → Gamma category hint → default. The engine is versioned in category-overrides.ts; methodology lives at /methodology.
FAQ — questions readers actually ask
What is the current Polymarket probability for "LoL: Kiwoom DRX Challengers vs Hanwha Life Esports Challengers - Game 1 Winner"?
As of Thu, 07 May 2026 00:46:46 GMT, YES is priced at 60% implied probability on Polymarket. The price changed +0.0pp in the last 24 hours, +0.0pp in the last hour, and +0.0pp in the last 7 days.
When does this market resolve?
This market resolves by May 7, 2026 (2026-05-07T09:00:00.000Z). Resolution is determined from https://gol.gg/esports/home.
What source determines the outcome?
Resolution is sourced from https://gol.gg/esports/home. Polymarket's UMA optimistic oracle is the final settlement layer; if the published source is ambiguous, UMA tokenholders adjudicate. Source-extraction confidence is shown in the Resolution & Risk block above.
How much is being traded on this market?
$0.00 of trading volume in the last 24 hours. Lifetime volume on Polymarket: $0.00. Open liquidity in the YES/NO orderbooks: $12.1K. Spread between best bid and best ask: 3.0¢.
Is this a trade recommendation?
No. Orrery describes — never predicts. Every signal on this market carries explicit Evidence, Backtest, and Action tiers. The Action is always one of: Watch only, Inspect timeline, Create alert, Verify source, or Ignore — never Buy or Sell. The probability above is the market's collective implied probability, not a forecast Orrery is publishing.
How fresh is this data and where does it come from?
This page revalidates from the public Polymarket APIs every 30 seconds. Probability and 24h-change come from Gamma; the chart series comes from the CLOB orderbook history; trade and holder data come from the Data API. The fetched-at timestamp on each block tells you exactly how old the underlying upstream pull was.
Alerts
In-app banners fire as soon as a rule is satisfied. Email, Telegram, and Discord delivery are coming soon — every existing rule will keep working without changes.
Top Holders
No holder data from the Data API.
