LoL: Estral Esports vs INTZ e-Sports - Game 1 Winner
Probability
51¢
1h
+0.5pp
24h
+0.0pp
24h Vol
$0.00
Liquidity
$81.20
Probability (last 7 days)
+0.0pp 7dWhy did it move?
Structured · 2 factors- 1
Resolution-risk signal firing
Expires in 220h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 2
Wide spread — 93.0¢
Bid-ask spread is wide enough that intraday moves overstate any tradeable edge. Most of the headline pp move would be eaten by spread on a market order.
What to track next
- Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.
Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.
Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.
Timeline
critical · price · trade flowCritical
- 0s agoResolveLOW
Market resolves in 219.8h
- 20:14SignalLOW
Resolution risk
Expires in 220h with open resolution ambiguity.
Price movement
-1.5pp over the last 24h, now 51¢.
Active signals
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.
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Market Description
This market refers to the LoL Upper bracket quarterfinal 1 match between Estral Esports and INTZ e-Sports in the Circuito Desafiante Playoffs, initially scheduled for May 4 at 4:00PM ET. This market will resolve to "Estral Esports" if Estral Esports win Game 1 against INTZ e-Sports. This market will resolve to "INTZ e-Sports" if INTZ e-Sports win Game 1 against Estral Esports. If the match begins but is not completed, and Game 1 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Game 1. If Game 1 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.
Resolution & Risk
LOW risk- End date
- May 5, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- Market type
- Binary
- Wide spread (93.0¢) — liquidity risk on entry/exit.
Alerts
In-app banners fire as soon as a rule is satisfied. Email, Telegram, and Discord delivery are coming soon — every existing rule will keep working without changes.
Top Holders
No holder data from the Data API.