SportsExpires May 4, 2026
Creator

Game Handicap: FLY (-1.5) vs Shopify Rebellion (+1.5)

Probability

44¢

1h

+0.0pp

24h

-6.0pp

24h Vol

$9.39

Liquidity

$12.5K

Resolution & Risk

HIGH risk
End date
May 4, 2026
UMA status
n/a
Resolution source
Primary
consensus of credible reporting
Link
gol.gg
Type
News consensus
Market type
Binary
  • Market expires May 4, 2026 — dispute window active.
Read full market rules on Polymarket

Probability (last 7 days)

+0.0pp 7d
Apr 28, 2026, 02:00May 3, 2026, 12:24
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB

Why did it move?

Structured · 3 factors
  • 01
    Price move

    Down 6pp over 24h

    Now 44¢; flat in the last hour.

  • 02
    Active signal

    Resolution-risk signal firing

    Expires in 17h.

  • 03
    Liquidity

    Thin liquidity

    Only $12.5k of visible book — small orders can move the line. Treat the probability as a soft estimate.

What to track next

  • Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.
  • Set an alert for resolution status changes — expiry is in 17 hours.

Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.

Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.

Timeline

critical · price · trade flow

Critical

  • 05:00Resolve

    Market resolves in 16.6h

    HIGH
  • 12:24Signal

    Resolution risk

    Expires in 17h.

    LOW

Price movement

-6.0pp over the last 24h, now 44¢.

Biggest hourly move: -10.0pp at 22:00 (to 40¢).

Show top 8 of 10 hourly moves
  • 11:00 · -6.5pp → 44¢
  • 10:00 · -6.5pp → 44¢
  • 07:00 · -6.5pp → 44¢
  • 05:00 · -10.0pp → 40¢
  • 03:00 · -9.0pp → 41¢
  • 01:00 · -9.0pp → 41¢
  • 23:00 · -10.0pp → 40¢
  • 22:00 · -10.0pp → 40¢
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB·Polymarket Data

Active signals

Recent Trades

No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market. That usually means liquidity is thin or this market is between event windows.

Open whale feedBrowse related marketsAlert me on the next trade
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket Data

Related Markets

14
Same eventLoL: FlyQuest vs Shopify Rebellion (BO3) - LCS Regular Season
Category · Sports

Market Description

This market refers to the LoL match between FlyQuest and Shopify Rebellion in the LCS Regular Season, initially scheduled for May 3 at 7:00PM ET. This market will resolve to "FlyQuest" if FlyQuest wins 2 or more games than Shopify Rebellion in this match. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Shopify Rebellion". Games won by forfeit, disqualification, walkover, or default are counted towards the handicap, provided that the match is completed. If the match is canceled (not played at all for any reason), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's match forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match ends due to the clinching game being forfeited this will count as a completed match. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

Alerts

¢
Deliver

In-app banners fire as soon as a rule is satisfied. Email, Telegram, and Discord delivery are coming soon — every existing rule will keep working without changes.

Top Holders

4 wallets
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