SportsExpires Apr 25, 2026

LoL: Fnatic vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - LEC Regular Season

Probability

37¢

1h

-24.0pp

24h

+12.5pp

24h Vol

$345.9K

Liquidity

$72.0K

Probability (last 7 days)

+0.0pp 7d
Apr 21, 2026, 14:00Apr 25, 2026, 17:14
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB

Why did it move?

Structured · 5 factors
  1. 1

    Up 13pp over 24h

    Now 37¢; -24.0pp in the last hour.

  2. 2

    Heavy volume on this book — 4.8× turnover

    $345.9k traded against $72.0k of visible liquidity. The book is being worked, not just quoted.

  3. 3

    Divergence signal firing

    Price is moving against its 24h trend — 1h -24.0pp vs. 24h +12.5pp.

  4. 4

    Resolution-risk signal firing

    Expires in 4h with open resolution ambiguity.

  5. 5

    Expiry in 4h

    Market resolves within 72 hours — the move likely reflects information about the resolution event itself rather than longer-horizon repricing. Verify the resolution source.

What to track next

  • Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.
  • Set an alert for resolution status changes — expiry is in 4 hours.

Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.

Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.

Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves

AllTradesSignalsPrice
  • 21:00Resolve

    Market resolves in 3.7h

    HIGH
  • 17:15Signal

    Signal · Short-term vs. trend divergence

    Price is moving against its 24h trend — 1h -24.0pp vs. 24h +12.5pp.

    HIGH
  • 17:15Signal

    Signal · Resolution risk

    Expires in 4h with open resolution ambiguity.

    LOW
  • 17:00Price

    Probability up 28.5pp

    to 50¢

    MEDIUM
  • 16:00Price

    Probability up 40.0pp

    to 61¢

    MEDIUM
  • 15:00Price

    Probability up 14.0pp

    to 32¢

    MEDIUM
  • 13:00Price

    Probability up 10.5pp

    to 33¢

    MEDIUM
  • 12:00Price

    Probability up 16.0pp

    to 33¢

    MEDIUM
  • 10:00Price

    Probability up 14.5pp

    to 33¢

    MEDIUM
  • 09:00Price

    Probability up 7.5pp

    to 30¢

    MEDIUM
  • 08:00Price

    Probability up 7.0pp

    to 28¢

    MEDIUM
  • 06:00Price

    Probability up 5.5pp

    to 27¢

    MEDIUM
  • 05:00Price

    Probability up 3.5pp

    to 26¢

    MEDIUM
  • 01:00Price

    Probability up 4.0pp

    to 24¢

    MEDIUM
  • 22:00Price

    Probability up 3.5pp

    to 24¢

    MEDIUM
  • 20:00Price

    Probability up 4.5pp

    to 26¢

    MEDIUM
  • 18:00Price

    Probability up 4.5pp

    to 24¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability up 3.5pp

    to 24¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability up 4.0pp

    to 24¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability down -8.5pp

    to 24¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability down -12.5pp

    to 22¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability up 5.5pp

    to 23¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability down -26.5pp

    to 25¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability up 8.0pp

    to 26¢

    MEDIUM
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB·Polymarket Data

Active signals

Recent Trades

No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.

updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket Data

Market Description

This market refers to the LoL match between Fnatic and Natus Vincere in the LEC Regular Season, initially scheduled for April 25 at 10:45AM ET. This market will resolve to "Fnatic" if Fnatic win the match against Natus Vincere. This market will resolve to "Natus Vincere" if Natus Vincere win the match against Fnatic. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

Resolution & Risk

HIGH risk
End date
Apr 25, 2026
UMA status
n/a
Resolution source
consensus of credible reportingNews consensus
gol.gg
Market type
Binary
  • Market expires Apr 25, 2026 — dispute window active.
Read full market rules on Polymarket

Alerts

¢
Deliver

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