LoL: Fnatic vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - LEC Regular Season
Probability
37¢
1h
-24.0pp
24h
+12.5pp
24h Vol
$345.9K
Liquidity
$72.0K
Probability (last 7 days)
+0.0pp 7dWhy did it move?
Structured · 5 factors- 1
Up 13pp over 24h
Now 37¢; -24.0pp in the last hour.
- 2
Heavy volume on this book — 4.8× turnover
$345.9k traded against $72.0k of visible liquidity. The book is being worked, not just quoted.
- 3
Divergence signal firing
Price is moving against its 24h trend — 1h -24.0pp vs. 24h +12.5pp.
- 4
Resolution-risk signal firing
Expires in 4h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 5
Expiry in 4h
Market resolves within 72 hours — the move likely reflects information about the resolution event itself rather than longer-horizon repricing. Verify the resolution source.
What to track next
- Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.
- Set an alert for resolution status changes — expiry is in 4 hours.
Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.
Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.
Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves
- 21:00ResolveHIGH
Market resolves in 3.7h
- 17:15SignalHIGH
Signal · Short-term vs. trend divergence
Price is moving against its 24h trend — 1h -24.0pp vs. 24h +12.5pp.
- 17:15SignalLOW
Signal · Resolution risk
Expires in 4h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 17:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 28.5pp
to 50¢
- 16:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 40.0pp
to 61¢
- 15:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 14.0pp
to 32¢
- 13:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 10.5pp
to 33¢
- 12:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 16.0pp
to 33¢
- 10:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 14.5pp
to 33¢
- 09:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 7.5pp
to 30¢
- 08:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 7.0pp
to 28¢
- 06:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 5.5pp
to 27¢
- 05:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 3.5pp
to 26¢
- 01:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 4.0pp
to 24¢
- 22:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 3.5pp
to 24¢
- 20:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 4.5pp
to 26¢
- 18:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 4.5pp
to 24¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 3.5pp
to 24¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 4.0pp
to 24¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -8.5pp
to 24¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -12.5pp
to 22¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 5.5pp
to 23¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -26.5pp
to 25¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 8.0pp
to 26¢
Active signals
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.
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Market Description
This market refers to the LoL match between Fnatic and Natus Vincere in the LEC Regular Season, initially scheduled for April 25 at 10:45AM ET. This market will resolve to "Fnatic" if Fnatic win the match against Natus Vincere. This market will resolve to "Natus Vincere" if Natus Vincere win the match against Fnatic. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.
Resolution & Risk
HIGH risk- End date
- Apr 25, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- consensus of credible reportingNews consensusgol.gg
- Market type
- Binary
- Market expires Apr 25, 2026 — dispute window active.
Alerts
In-app banners fire as soon as a rule is satisfied. Email, Telegram, and Discord delivery are coming soon — every existing rule will keep working without changes.
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