Loading shell…
OtherExpires Apr 25, 2026

LoL: Fnatic vs Natus Vincere - Game 1 Winner

Probability

37¢

1h

+0.0pp

24h

+6.5pp

24h Vol

$12.5K

Liquidity

$43.3K

Probability (last 7 days)

+0.0pp 7d
Apr 21, 2026, 13:00Apr 25, 2026, 11:39
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB

Why did it move?

 

Heuristic summary, generated from the public market metrics above: probability movement, volume, liquidity, spread, signals, and resolution status.

Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves

AllTradesSignalsPrice
  • 21:00Resolve

    Market resolves in 9.3h

    HIGH
  • 11:39Signal

    Signal · Resolution risk

    Expires in 9h with open resolution ambiguity.

    LOW
  • 11:00Price

    Probability up 8.5pp

    to 37¢

    MEDIUM
  • 09:00Price

    Probability up 3.5pp

    to 34¢

    MEDIUM
  • 07:00Price

    Probability up 5.5pp

    to 34¢

    MEDIUM
  • 04:00Price

    Probability down -3.0pp

    to 31¢

    MEDIUM
  • 20:00Price

    Probability up 6.0pp

    to 35¢

    MEDIUM
  • 19:00Price

    Probability up 3.5pp

    to 32¢

    MEDIUM
  • 17:00Price

    Probability up 3.0pp

    to 33¢

    MEDIUM
  • 16:00Price

    Probability up 4.5pp

    to 35¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability down -21.0pp

    to 31¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability down -21.5pp

    to 30¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability down -20.0pp

    to 31¢

    MEDIUM
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB·Polymarket Data

Active signals

Recent Trades

No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.

updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket Data

Market Description

This market refers to the LoL match between Fnatic and Natus Vincere in the LEC Regular Season, initially scheduled for April 25 at 10:45AM ET. This market will resolve to "Fnatic" if Fnatic win Game 1 against Natus Vincere. This market will resolve to "Natus Vincere" if Natus Vincere win Game 1 against Fnatic. If the match begins but is not completed, and Game 1 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Game 1. If Game 1 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

Resolution & Risk

HIGH risk
End date
Apr 25, 2026
UMA status
n/a
Resolution source
https://gol.gg/esports/homeNews consensus
Market type
Binary
  • Market expires Apr 25, 2026 — dispute window active.
Read full market rules on Polymarket

Alerts

¢
Deliver

In-app banners work now. Email / Telegram / Discord delivery lands when the backend alert dispatcher ships (needs RESEND_API_KEY + per-user webhook storage).