LoL: Fnatic vs Shifters - Game 2 Winner
Probability
65¢
1h
+0.0pp
24h
+0.0pp
24h Vol
$41.28
Liquidity
$9.3K
Probability (last 7 days)
+0.0pp 7dWhy did it move?
Structured · 3 factors- 01Active signal
Resolution-risk signal firing
Expires in 16h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 02Liquidity
Thin liquidity
Only $9.3k of visible book — small orders can move the line. Treat the probability as a soft estimate.
- 03Resolution proximity
Expiry in 16h
Market resolves within 72 hours — the move likely reflects information about the resolution event itself rather than longer-horizon repricing. Verify the resolution source.
What to track next
- Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.
- Set an alert for resolution status changes — expiry is in 16 hours.
Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.
Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.
Timeline
critical · price · trade flowCritical
- 19:00ResolveHIGH
Market resolves in 15.6h
- 03:22SignalLOW
Resolution risk
Expires in 16h with open resolution ambiguity.
Price movement
+14.5pp over the last 24h, now 65¢.
Active signals
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.
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Market Description
This market refers to the LoL Upper bracket round 1 match between Fnatic and Shifters in the Esports World Cup EMEA Qualifier Playoffs, initially scheduled for April 28 at 11:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Fnatic" if Fnatic win Game 2 against Shifters. This market will resolve to "Shifters" if Shifters win Game 2 against Fnatic. If the match begins but is not completed, and Game 2 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Game 2. If Game 2 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.
Resolution & Risk
HIGH risk- End date
- Apr 28, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- Market type
- Binary
- Market expires Apr 28, 2026 — dispute window active.
Alerts
In-app banners fire as soon as a rule is satisfied. Email, Telegram, and Discord delivery are coming soon — every existing rule will keep working without changes.