SportsExpires Apr 30, 2026

LoL: BNK FEARX vs Dplus KIA - Game 1 Winner

Probability

27¢

1h

-6.5pp

24h

-3.0pp

24h Vol

$15.08

Liquidity

$1.8K

Probability (last 7 days)

+0.0pp 7d
Apr 26, 2026, 09:00Apr 29, 2026, 01:44
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB

Why did it move?

Structured · 4 factors
  • 01
    Price move

    Down 3pp over 24h

    Now 27¢; -6.5pp in the last hour.

  • 02
    Active signal

    Resolution-risk signal firing

    Expires in 36h. Spread is extremely wide.

  • 03
    Spread cost

    Wide spread — 8.0¢

    Bid-ask spread is wide enough that intraday moves overstate any tradeable edge. Most of the headline pp move would be eaten by spread on a market order.

  • 04
    Resolution proximity

    Expiry in 36h

    Market resolves within 72 hours — the move likely reflects information about the resolution event itself rather than longer-horizon repricing. Verify the resolution source.

What to track next

  • Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.
  • Set an alert for resolution status changes — expiry is in 36 hours.

Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.

Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.

Timeline

critical · price · trade flow

Critical

  • 0s agoResolve

    Market resolves in 36.3h

    HIGH
  • 01:44Signal

    Resolution risk

    Expires in 36h. Spread is extremely wide.

    MEDIUM

Price movement

-3.0pp over the last 24h, now 27¢.

Biggest hourly move: -25.0pp at 21:00 (to 26¢).

Show 4 hourly moves
  • 01:00 · -19.5pp → 30¢
  • 00:00 · -23.0pp → 27¢
  • 22:00 · -24.5pp → 27¢
  • 21:00 · -25.0pp → 26¢
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB·Polymarket Data

Active signals

Recent Trades

No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market. That usually means liquidity is thin or this market is between event windows.

updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket Data

Market Description

This market refers to the LoL match between BNK FEARX and Dplus KIA in the LCK Rounds 1-2, initially scheduled for April 30 at 6:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "BNK FEARX" if BNK FEARX win Game 1 against Dplus KIA. This market will resolve to "Dplus KIA" if Dplus KIA win Game 1 against BNK FEARX. If the match begins but is not completed, and Game 1 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Game 1. If Game 1 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

Resolution & Risk

HIGH risk
End date
Apr 30, 2026
UMA status
n/a
Resolution source
Primary
consensus of credible reporting
Link
Type
News consensus
Market type
Binary
  • Market expires Apr 30, 2026 — dispute window active.
  • Wide spread (8.0¢) — liquidity risk on entry/exit.
Read full market rules on Polymarket

Alerts

¢
Deliver

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