SportsExpires Apr 30, 2026
Creator

Game 1: Any Player Penta Kill?

Probability

10¢

1h

-39.0pp

24h

+4.0pp

24h Vol

$0.00

Liquidity

$125.35

Resolution & Risk

HIGH risk
End date
Apr 30, 2026
UMA status
proposed
Resolution source
Primary
consensus of credible reporting
Link
Type
News consensus
Market type
Binary
  • UMA status: proposed
  • Market expires Apr 30, 2026 — dispute window active.
  • Wide spread (19.0¢) — liquidity risk on entry/exit.
Read full market rules on Polymarket

Probability (last 7 days)

+0.0pp 7d
Apr 26, 2026, 09:00Apr 30, 2026, 15:29
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB

Why did it move?

Structured · 5 factors
  • 01
    Price move

    Up 4pp over 24h

    Now 10¢; -39.0pp in the last hour.

  • 02
    Active signal

    Resolution-risk signal firing

    Expires in 2h. UMA disputed and spread is extremely wide.

  • 03
    Spread cost

    Wide spread — 19.0¢

    Bid-ask spread is wide enough that intraday moves overstate any tradeable edge. Most of the headline pp move would be eaten by spread on a market order.

  • 04
    Resolution proximity

    Expiry in 2h

    Market resolves within 72 hours — the move likely reflects information about the resolution event itself rather than longer-horizon repricing. Verify the resolution source.

  • 05
    UMA status

    UMA status: proposed

    An open UMA dispute or pending oracle vote can move price independently of underlying odds. Wait for settlement before treating the line as the market view.

What to track next

  • Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.
  • Wait for the UMA proposal to settle (current status: proposed) — price moves now reflect oracle dynamics, not odds.
  • Set an alert for resolution status changes — expiry is in 2 hours.

Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.

Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.

Timeline

critical · price · trade flow

Critical

  • 17:00Resolve

    Market resolves in 1.5h

    HIGH
  • 15:29Signal

    Resolution risk

    Expires in 2h. UMA disputed and spread is extremely wide.

    HIGH

Price movement

+4.0pp over the last 24h, now 10¢.

Biggest hourly move: +44.5pp at 10:00 (to 50¢).

Show top 8 of 21 hourly moves
  • 14:00 · +42.5pp → 49¢
  • 13:00 · +43.0pp → 49¢
  • 11:00 · +43.0pp → 49¢
  • 10:00 · +44.5pp → 50¢
  • 2d ago · -32.5pp → 6¢
  • 2d ago · -42.0pp → 6¢
  • 2d ago · -44.0pp → 6¢
  • 2d ago · -44.0pp → 6¢
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB·Polymarket Data

Active signals

Recent Trades

No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market. That usually means liquidity is thin or this market is between event windows.

updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket Data

Market Description

This market is about whether any player achieves a Penta Kill during Game 1. In League of Legends, a Penta Kill occurs when a single player kills all 5 enemy champions in rapid succession. This market will resolve to "Yes" if any player on either team achieves a Penta Kill during Game 1. This market will resolve to "No" if no player achieves a Penta Kill. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date, this market will resolve to 50-50. If Game 1 is never played due to forfeit, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to 50-50. If Game 1 is not played because the series result has already been determined (e.g., a team clinches the series before Game 1 is needed), this market will resolve to 50-50. If Game 1 begins but is not completed and ends via surrender, this market will resolve based on whether a Penta Kill occurred prior to stoppage. If no Penta Kill occurred, this market will resolve to "No". If Game 1 is remade, resolution will be based on the remade game only. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

Alerts

¢
Deliver

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