LoL: G2 Esports vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - LEC Regular Season
Probability
66¢
1h
+0.0pp
24h
+7.0pp
24h Vol
$2.3K
Liquidity
$37.6K
Resolution & Risk
LOW risk- End date
- May 3, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- Market type
- Binary
- No obvious resolution-risk signals in metadata.
Probability (last 7 days)
+0.0pp 7dWhy did it move?
Structured · 1 factor- 01Price move
Up 7pp over 24h
Now 66¢; flat in the last hour.
What to track next
- Set an alert if probability drops back below 61¢ — that's where this move would be reversing.
- Add to your watchlist — Home will show probability deltas since your last visit.
- Compare against sibling markets in the same event below — divergent pricing across related contracts is the cleanest tell.
Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.
Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.
Timeline
critical · price · trade flowCritical
- 0s agoResolveLOW
Market resolves in 95.9h
Price movement
+7.0pp over the last 24h, now 66¢.
Biggest hourly move: -10.5pp at 23:23 (to 66¢).
Show 2 hourly moves
- 23:23 · -10.5pp → 66¢
- 22:00 · -8.5pp → 66¢
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market. That usually means liquidity is thin or this market is between event windows.
Related Markets
14- 56¢+1.0pp
LoL: G2 Esports vs Natus Vincere - Game 1 Winner
Sports · Vol $0.00
- 56¢+1.0pp
LoL: G2 Esports vs Natus Vincere - Game 2 Winner
Sports · Vol $0.00
- 50¢0.0pp
Games Total: O/U 2.5
Sports · Vol $0.00
- 50¢0.0pp
Game Handicap: G2 (-1.5) vs Natus Vincere (+1.5)
Sports · Vol $0.00
- 50¢0.0pp
Game 1: Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor?
Sports · Vol $0.00
- 50¢0.0pp
Game 1: Both Teams Slay a Dragon?
Sports · Vol $0.00
- 50¢-0.5pp
Game 1: Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors?
Sports · Vol $0.00
- 50¢+0.5pp
Game 1: Any Player Quadra Kill?
Sports · Vol $0.00
- 0¢-39.5pp
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-29?
Sports · Vol $8.8M
- 0¢-32.5pp
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-04-29?
Sports · Vol $3.5M
- 19¢-4.0pp
Magic vs. Pistons
Sports · Vol $2.6M
- 23¢-1.0pp
Raptors vs. Cavaliers
Sports · Vol $1.7M
- 40¢+1.0pp
Rockets vs. Lakers
Sports · Vol $1.4M
- 50¢+2.5pp
Penguins vs. Flyers
Sports · Vol $1.3M
Market Description
This market refers to the LoL match between G2 Esports and Natus Vincere in the LEC Regular Season, initially scheduled for May 3 at 1:15PM ET. This market will resolve to "G2 Esports" if G2 Esports win the match against Natus Vincere. This market will resolve to "Natus Vincere" if Natus Vincere win the match against G2 Esports. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.
Resolution & Risk
LOW risk- End date
- May 3, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- Market type
- Binary
- No obvious resolution-risk signals in metadata.
Alerts
In-app banners fire as soon as a rule is satisfied. Email, Telegram, and Discord delivery are coming soon — every existing rule will keep working without changes.