SportsExpires Apr 27, 2026

LoL: G2 NORD vs E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS - Game 1 Winner

Probability

64¢

1h

+0.0pp

24h

+0.0pp

24h Vol

$4.62

Liquidity

$4.5K

Probability (last 7 days)

+0.0pp 7d
Apr 24, 2026, 17:00Apr 27, 2026, 03:03
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB

Why did it move?

Structured · 3 factors
  • 1

    Resolution-risk signal firing

    Expires in 16h with open resolution ambiguity.

  • 2

    Thin liquidity

    Only $4.5k of visible book — small orders can move the line. Treat the probability as a soft estimate.

  • 3

    Expiry in 16h

    Market resolves within 72 hours — the move likely reflects information about the resolution event itself rather than longer-horizon repricing. Verify the resolution source.

What to track next

  • Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.
  • Set an alert for resolution status changes — expiry is in 16 hours.

Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.

Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.

Timeline

critical · price · trade flow

Critical

  • 19:00Resolve

    Market resolves in 15.9h

    HIGH
  • 03:03Signal

    Resolution risk

    Expires in 16h with open resolution ambiguity.

    LOW

Price movement

-0.5pp over the last 24h, now 64¢.

updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB·Polymarket Data

Active signals

Recent Trades

No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.

updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket Data

Market Description

This market refers to the LoL match between G2 NORD and E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS in the Prime League 1st Division Group B, initially scheduled for April 27 at 11:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "G2 NORD" if G2 NORD win Game 1 against E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS. This market will resolve to "E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS" if E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS win Game 1 against G2 NORD. If the match begins but is not completed, and Game 1 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Game 1. If Game 1 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

Resolution & Risk

HIGH risk
End date
Apr 27, 2026
UMA status
n/a
Resolution source
Primary
consensus of credible reporting
Link
Type
News consensus
Market type
Binary
  • Market expires Apr 27, 2026 — dispute window active.
Read full market rules on Polymarket

Alerts

¢
Deliver

In-app banners fire as soon as a rule is satisfied. Email, Telegram, and Discord delivery are coming soon — every existing rule will keep working without changes.

Top Holders

2 wallets