SportsExpires Apr 27, 2026

LoL: G2 NORD vs E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS - Game 2 Winner

Probability

100¢

1h

+45.5pp

24h

+35.9pp

24h Vol

$153.2K

Liquidity

$80.5K

Probability (last 7 days)

+0.0pp 7d
Apr 24, 2026, 17:00Apr 27, 2026, 17:11
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB

Why did it move?

Structured · 5 factors
  • 1

    Up 36pp over 24h

    Now 100¢; +45.5pp in the last hour.

  • 2

    Heavy volume on this book — 1.9× turnover

    $153.2k traded against $80.5k of visible liquidity. The book is being worked, not just quoted.

  • 3

    Momentum signal firing

    Probability moved up 35.9pp in 24h with 1.9× liquidity turnover and a tight spread.

  • 4

    Resolution-risk signal firing

    Expires in 2h with open resolution ambiguity.

  • 5

    Expiry in 2h

    Market resolves within 72 hours — the move likely reflects information about the resolution event itself rather than longer-horizon repricing. Verify the resolution source.

What to track next

  • Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.
  • Wait for the UMA proposal to settle (current status: proposed) — price moves now reflect oracle dynamics, not odds.
  • Set an alert for resolution status changes — expiry is in 2 hours.

Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.

Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.

Timeline

critical · price · trade flow

Critical

  • 19:00Resolve

    Market resolves in 1.8h

    HIGH
  • 17:11Signal

    Momentum up

    Probability moved up 35.9pp in 24h with 1.9× liquidity turnover and a tight spread.

    HIGH
  • 17:11Signal

    Resolution risk

    Expires in 2h with open resolution ambiguity.

    MEDIUM

Price movement

+36.0pp over the last 24h, now 100¢.

Biggest hourly move: +40.5pp at 17:00 (to 100¢).

Show top 8 of 9 hourly moves
  • 17:00 · +40.5pp → 100¢
  • 15:00 · -10.5pp → 50¢
  • 14:00 · +4.0pp → 65¢
  • 13:00 · +3.0pp → 65¢
  • 11:00 · +3.0pp → 65¢
  • 07:00 · +13.0pp → 65¢
  • 06:00 · +13.0pp → 65¢
  • 05:00 · +12.0pp → 64¢
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB·Polymarket Data

Active signals

Recent Trades

No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.

updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket Data

Market Description

This market refers to the LoL match between G2 NORD and E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS in the Prime League 1st Division Group B, initially scheduled for April 27 at 11:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "G2 NORD" if G2 NORD win Game 2 against E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS. This market will resolve to "E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS" if E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS win Game 2 against G2 NORD. If the match begins but is not completed, and Game 2 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Game 2. If Game 2 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

Resolution & Risk

HIGH risk
End date
Apr 27, 2026
UMA status
proposed
Resolution source
Primary
consensus of credible reporting
Link
Type
News consensus
Market type
Binary
  • UMA status: proposed
  • Market expires Apr 27, 2026 — dispute window active.
Read full market rules on Polymarket

Alerts

¢
Deliver

In-app banners fire as soon as a rule is satisfied. Email, Telegram, and Discord delivery are coming soon — every existing rule will keep working without changes.