Game Handicap: HMBLE (-2.5) vs Colossal Gaming (+2.5)
Probability
52¢
1h
+0.0pp
24h
+10.5pp
24h Vol
$495.31
Liquidity
$3.5K
Probability (last 7 days)
+0.0pp 7dWhy did it move?
Structured · 2 factors- 01Price move
Up 11pp over 24h
Now 52¢; flat in the last hour.
- 02Liquidity
Thin liquidity
Only $3.5k of visible book — small orders can move the line. Treat the probability as a soft estimate.
What to track next
- Set an alert if probability drops back below 47¢ — that's where this move would be reversing.
- Add to your watchlist — Home will show probability deltas since your last visit.
- Compare against sibling markets in the same event below — divergent pricing across related contracts is the cleanest tell.
Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.
Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.
Timeline
critical · price · trade flowCritical
- 0s agoResolveLOW
Market resolves in 198.6h
Price movement
+10.5pp over the last 24h, now 52¢.
Biggest hourly move: +23.5pp at 22:00 (to 65¢).
Show top 8 of 16 hourly moves
- 15:00 · +9.0pp → 52¢
- 13:00 · +9.0pp → 52¢
- 12:00 · +9.0pp → 52¢
- 11:00 · +9.0pp → 52¢
- 01:00 · +10.5pp → 52¢
- 00:00 · +10.5pp → 52¢
- 22:00 · +23.5pp → 65¢
- 1d ago · -10.0pp → 40¢
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market. That usually means liquidity is thin or this market is between event windows.
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Market Description
This market refers to the LoL Upper bracket final match between HMBLE and Colossal Gaming in the LIT Playoffs, initially scheduled for May 7 at 12:00PM ET. This market will resolve to "HMBLE" if HMBLE wins 3 or more games than Colossal Gaming in this match. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Colossal Gaming". Games won by forfeit, disqualification, walkover, or default are counted towards the handicap, provided that the match is completed. If the match is canceled (not played at all for any reason), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's match forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match ends due to the clinching game being forfeited this will count as a completed match. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.
Resolution & Risk
LOW risk- End date
- May 7, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- Market type
- Binary
- No obvious resolution-risk signals in metadata.
Alerts
In-app banners fire as soon as a rule is satisfied. Email, Telegram, and Discord delivery are coming soon — every existing rule will keep working without changes.