LoL: Team Heretics Academy vs FALKE Esports - Game 1 Winner
Probability
95¢
1h
+0.0pp
24h
+43.7pp
24h Vol
$3.3K
Liquidity
$1.8K
Probability (last 7 days)
+0.0pp 7dWhy did it move?
Structured · 2 factors- 1
Up 44pp over 24h
Now 95¢; flat in the last hour.
- 2
Wide spread — 5.0¢
Bid-ask spread is wide enough that intraday moves overstate any tradeable edge. Most of the headline pp move would be eaten by spread on a market order.
What to track next
- Set an alert if probability drops back below 90¢ — that's where this move would be reversing.
- Add to your watchlist — Home will show probability deltas since your last visit.
- Compare against sibling markets in the same event below — divergent pricing across related contracts is the cleanest tell.
Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.
Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.
Timeline
critical · price · trade flowCritical
- 0s agoResolveLOW
Market resolves in 94.4h
Price movement
+44.7pp over the last 24h, now 95¢.
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.
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Market Description
This market refers to the LoL match between Team Heretics Academy and FALKE Esports in the LES Regular Season, initially scheduled for April 29 at 11:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Team Heretics Academy" if Team Heretics Academy win Game 1 against FALKE Esports. This market will resolve to "FALKE Esports" if FALKE Esports win Game 1 against Team Heretics Academy. If the match begins but is not completed, and Game 1 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Game 1. If Game 1 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.
Resolution & Risk
LOW risk- End date
- Apr 29, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- Market type
- Binary
- Wide spread (5.0¢) — liquidity risk on entry/exit.
Alerts
In-app banners fire as soon as a rule is satisfied. Email, Telegram, and Discord delivery are coming soon — every existing rule will keep working without changes.