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GeopoliticsExpires May 21, 2026

Game Handicap: JDG (-1.5) vs Anyone's Legend (+1.5)

Probability

37¢

1h

+0.0pp

24h

-1.5pp

24h Vol

$0.00

Liquidity

$2.0K

Probability (last 7 days)

-11.5pp 7d
Apr 18, 2026, 18:00Apr 25, 2026, 16:43
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB

Why did it move?

Structured · 3 factors
  1. 1

    Down 2pp over 24h

    Now 37¢; flat in the last hour.

  2. 2

    Resolution-risk signal firing

    Expires in 622h with open resolution ambiguity.

  3. 3

    Wide spread — 65.0¢

    Bid-ask spread is wide enough that intraday moves overstate any tradeable edge. Most of the headline pp move would be eaten by spread on a market order.

What to track next

  • Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.

Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.

Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.

AI prose summary

Loading prose summary — see the structured breakdown above.

Prose narration of the same metrics shown in the structured breakdown above. Cites only the market data on this page — no news, no predictions. Use the structured factors as the canonical answer; this is here for readability.

Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves

AllTradesSignalsPrice
  • 0s agoResolve

    Market resolves in 622.3h

    LOW
  • 16:43Signal

    Signal · Resolution risk

    Expires in 622h with open resolution ambiguity.

    LOW
  • 08:00Price

    Probability down -5.5pp

    to 37¢

    MEDIUM
  • 04:00Price

    Probability down -5.5pp

    to 37¢

    MEDIUM
  • 17:00Price

    Probability down -3.5pp

    to 36¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability up 7.0pp

    to 38¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability up 6.0pp

    to 38¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability up 3.5pp

    to 43¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability down -5.0pp

    to 38¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability down -6.0pp

    to 38¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability down -9.0pp

    to 38¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability down -6.5pp

    to 38¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability down -7.0pp

    to 38¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability down -10.5pp

    to 38¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability down -10.0pp

    to 38¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability down -10.0pp

    to 38¢

    MEDIUM
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB·Polymarket Data

Active signals

Recent Trades

No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.

updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket Data

Market Description

This market refers to the LoL Upper bracket final match between JD Gaming and Anyone's Legend in the Esports World Cup China Qualifier Phase 2, initially scheduled for May 21 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "JD Gaming" if JD Gaming wins 2 or more games than Anyone's Legend in this match. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Anyone's Legend". Games won by forfeit, disqualification, walkover, or default are counted towards the handicap, provided that the match is completed. If the match is canceled (not played at all for any reason), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's match forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match ends due to the clinching game being forfeited this will count as a completed match. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

Resolution & Risk

LOW risk
End date
May 21, 2026
UMA status
n/a
Resolution source
consensus of credible reportingNews consensus
gol.gg
Market type
Binary
  • Wide spread (65.0¢) — liquidity risk on entry/exit.
Read full market rules on Polymarket

Alerts

¢
Deliver

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Top Holders

No holder data from the Data API.