LoL: JD Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 1 Winner
Probability
38¢
1h
+2.0pp
24h
+2.5pp
24h Vol
$0.00
Liquidity
$5.6K
Resolution & Risk
LOW risk- End date
- May 8, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- Market type
- Binary
- Wide spread (16.0¢) — liquidity risk on entry/exit.
Probability (last 7 days)
+0.0pp 7dWhy did it move?
Structured · 3 factors- 01Price move
Up 3pp over 24h
Now 38¢; +2.0pp in the last hour.
- 02Active signal
Resolution-risk signal firing
Spread is wide enough that intraday moves overstate any tradeable edge.
- 03Spread cost
Wide spread — 16.0¢
Bid-ask spread is wide enough that intraday moves overstate any tradeable edge. Most of the headline pp move would be eaten by spread on a market order.
What to track next
- Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.
Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.
Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.
Resolution & Risk
LOW risk- End date
- May 8, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- Market type
- Binary
- Wide spread (16.0¢) — liquidity risk on entry/exit.
Timeline
critical · price · trade flowCritical
- 0s agoResolveLOW
Market resolves in 92.2h
- 18:45SignalLOW
Resolution risk
Spread is wide enough that intraday moves overstate any tradeable edge.
Price movement
+2.5pp over the last 24h, now 38¢.
Biggest hourly move: -11.5pp at 2d ago (to 38¢).
Show top 8 of 26 hourly moves
- 15:00 · -4.5pp → 36¢
- 14:00 · -4.5pp → 36¢
- 09:00 · -4.5pp → 36¢
- 08:00 · -4.5pp → 36¢
- 2d ago · -10.5pp → 38¢
- 2d ago · -11.5pp → 38¢
- 2d ago · -11.5pp → 38¢
- 2d ago · -9.0pp → 40¢
Active signals
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market. That usually means liquidity is thin or this market is between event windows.
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Market Description
This market refers to the LoL match between JD Gaming and Bilibili Gaming in the LPL Group Ascend, initially scheduled for May 8 at 7:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "JD Gaming" if JD Gaming win Game 1 against Bilibili Gaming. This market will resolve to "Bilibili Gaming" if Bilibili Gaming win Game 1 against JD Gaming. If the match begins but is not completed, and Game 1 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Game 1. If Game 1 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.
Alerts
In-app banners fire as soon as a rule is satisfied. Email, Telegram, and Discord delivery are coming soon — every existing rule will keep working without changes.
Top Holders
No holder data from the Data API.