SportsExpires May 6, 2026
Creator

LoL: KaBuM! Ilha das Lendas vs INTZ e-Sports - Game 2 Winner

Probability

82¢

1h

+16.5pp

24h

+0.0pp

24h Vol

$7.8K

Liquidity

$7.4K

Resolution & Risk

HIGH risk
End date
May 6, 2026
UMA status
n/a
Resolution source
Primary
consensus of credible reporting
Link
Type
News consensus
Market type
Binary
  • Market expires May 6, 2026 — dispute window active.
  • Wide spread (7.0¢) — liquidity risk on entry/exit.
Read full market rules on Polymarket

Probability (last 7 days)

+0.0pp 7d
May 5, 2026, 11:00May 5, 2026, 21:14
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB·snap:snap_2026-05-05T21-14Z

Why did it move?

Structured · 2 factors
  • 01
    Active signal

    Resolution-risk signal firing

    Expires in 5h. Spread is extremely wide.

  • 02
    Spread cost

    Wide spread — 7.0¢

    Bid-ask spread is wide enough that intraday moves overstate any tradeable edge. Most of the headline pp move would be eaten by spread on a market order.

What to track next

  • Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.
  • Set an alert for resolution status changes — expiry is in 5 hours.

Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.

Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.

Timeline

critical · price · trade flow

Critical

  • 02:00Resolve

    Market resolves in 4.8h

    HIGH
  • 21:14Signal

    Resolution risk

    Expires in 5h. Spread is extremely wide.

    MEDIUM

Price movement

+0.0pp over the last 24h, now 82¢.

updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB·Polymarket Data

Active signals

Recent Trades

1
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket Data

Market Description

This market refers to the LoL Upper bracket semifinal 1 match between KaBuM! Ilha das Lendas and INTZ e-Sports in the Circuito Desafiante Playoffs, initially scheduled for May 5 at 4:00PM ET. This market will resolve to "KaBuM! Ilha das Lendas" if KaBuM! Ilha das Lendas win Game 2 against INTZ e-Sports. This market will resolve to "INTZ e-Sports" if INTZ e-Sports win Game 2 against KaBuM! Ilha das Lendas. If the match begins but is not completed, and Game 2 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Game 2. If Game 2 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

Alerts

¢
Deliver

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