SportsExpires Apr 26, 2026

LoL: Karmine Corp vs Shifters - Game 2 Winner

Probability

42¢

1h

-45.0pp

24h

-40.0pp

24h Vol

$225.9K

Liquidity

$7.1K

Probability (last 7 days)

+0.0pp 7d
Apr 21, 2026, 14:00Apr 25, 2026, 20:13
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB

Why did it move?

Structured · 5 factors
  1. 1

    Down 40pp over 24h

    Now 42¢; -45.0pp in the last hour.

  2. 2

    Heavy volume on this book — 32.0× turnover

    $225.9k traded against $7.1k of visible liquidity. The book is being worked, not just quoted.

  3. 3

    Resolution-risk signal firing

    Expires in 4h with open resolution ambiguity.

  4. 4

    Wide spread — 7.0¢

    Bid-ask spread is wide enough that intraday moves overstate any tradeable edge. Most of the headline pp move would be eaten by spread on a market order.

  5. 5

    Expiry in 4h

    Market resolves within 72 hours — the move likely reflects information about the resolution event itself rather than longer-horizon repricing. Verify the resolution source.

What to track next

  • Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.
  • Set an alert for resolution status changes — expiry is in 4 hours.

Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.

Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.

Timeline

critical · price · trade flow

Critical

  • 00:35Resolve

    Market resolves in 4.4h

    HIGH
  • 20:13Signal

    Resolution risk

    Expires in 4h with open resolution ambiguity.

    MEDIUM

Price movement

-57.0pp over the last 24h, now 22¢.

Biggest hourly move: +31.0pp at 2d ago (to 81¢).

Show all 13 hour-by-hour ticks
  • 20:00 · -14.5pp → 66¢
  • 19:00 · +5.5pp → 86¢
  • 1d ago · +5.0pp → 83¢
  • 1d ago · +3.5pp → 82¢
  • 1d ago · +4.0pp → 82¢
  • 1d ago · +4.5pp → 83¢
  • 1d ago · +6.5pp → 83¢
  • 1d ago · +30.5pp → 82¢
  • 1d ago · +30.5pp → 82¢
  • 2d ago · +30.0pp → 82¢
  • 2d ago · +29.0pp → 81¢
  • 2d ago · +31.0pp → 81¢
  • 2d ago · +31.0pp → 81¢
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB·Polymarket Data

Active signals

Recent Trades

No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.

updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket Data

Market Description

This market refers to the LoL match between Karmine Corp and Shifters in the LEC Regular Season, initially scheduled for April 25 at 12:30PM ET. This market will resolve to "Karmine Corp" if Karmine Corp win Game 2 against Shifters. This market will resolve to "Shifters" if Shifters win Game 2 against Karmine Corp. If the match begins but is not completed, and Game 2 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Game 2. If Game 2 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

Resolution & Risk

HIGH risk
End date
Apr 26, 2026
UMA status
n/a
Resolution source
Primary
consensus of credible reporting
Link
Type
News consensus
Market type
Binary
  • Market expires Apr 26, 2026 — dispute window active.
  • Wide spread (7.0¢) — liquidity risk on entry/exit.
Read full market rules on Polymarket

Alerts

¢
Deliver

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