SportsExpires Apr 26, 2026

LoL: Leviatan Esports vs Vivo Keyd Stars - Game 2 Winner

Probability

1h

+0.0pp

24h

-22.4pp

24h Vol

$54.9K

Liquidity

$333.4K

Probability (last 7 days)

+0.0pp 7d
Apr 20, 2026, 17:00Apr 26, 2026, 23:19
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB

Why did it move?

Structured · 5 factors
  • 1

    Down 22pp over 24h

    Now 0¢; flat in the last hour.

  • 2

    Light volume — move on a thin book

    Only $54.9k traded against $333.4k of visible liquidity (0.16× turnover). Treat the move as low-confidence until volume confirms.

  • 3

    Resolution-risk signal firing

    Market has reached expiry. Watch the UMA dispute window.

  • 4

    Past expiry — awaiting resolution

    Market is past its end date. Any price move now is a settlement / dispute artefact, not new information.

  • 5

    UMA status: proposed

    An open UMA dispute or pending oracle vote can move price independently of underlying odds. Wait for settlement before treating the line as the market view.

What to track next

  • Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.
  • Wait for the UMA proposal to settle (current status: proposed) — price moves now reflect oracle dynamics, not odds.

Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.

Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.

Timeline

critical · price · trade flow

Critical

  • 23:20Signal

    Resolution risk

    Market has reached expiry. Watch the UMA dispute window.

    MEDIUM
  • 23:00Resolve

    Market resolved 0h ago

    HIGH

Price movement

-22.4pp over the last 24h, now 0¢.

Biggest hourly move: -27.5pp at 3d ago (to 24¢).

Show top 8 of 44 hourly moves
  • 23:00 · -25.9pp → 0¢
  • 21:00 · -25.9pp → 0¢
  • 3d ago · -24.0pp → 27¢
  • 3d ago · -24.5pp → 27¢
  • 3d ago · -25.0pp → 27¢
  • 3d ago · -27.5pp → 24¢
  • 3d ago · -24.5pp → 27¢
  • 3d ago · -25.0pp → 27¢
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB·Polymarket Data

Active signals

Recent Trades

No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.

updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket Data

Market Description

This market refers to the LoL match between Leviatan Esports and Vivo Keyd Stars in the CBLOL Regular Season, initially scheduled for April 26 at 3:00PM ET. This market will resolve to "Leviatan Esports" if Leviatan Esports win Game 2 against Vivo Keyd Stars. This market will resolve to "Vivo Keyd Stars" if Vivo Keyd Stars win Game 2 against Leviatan Esports. If the match begins but is not completed, and Game 2 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Game 2. If Game 2 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

Resolution & Risk

HIGH risk
End date
Apr 26, 2026
UMA status
proposed
Resolution source
Primary
consensus of credible reporting
Link
Type
News consensus
Market type
Binary
  • UMA status: proposed
  • Market expires Apr 26, 2026 — dispute window active.
Read full market rules on Polymarket

Alerts

¢
Deliver

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