SportsExpires Apr 25, 2026

LoL: LOS vs RED Canids - Game 1 Winner

Probability

1h

-11.9pp

24h

-39.0pp

24h Vol

$146.7K

Liquidity

$69.3K

Probability (last 7 days)

+0.0pp 7d
Apr 20, 2026, 21:00Apr 25, 2026, 17:47
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB

Why did it move?

Structured · 5 factors
  1. 1

    Down 39pp over 24h

    Now 0¢; -11.9pp in the last hour.

  2. 2

    Heavy volume on this book — 2.1× turnover

    $146.7k traded against $69.3k of visible liquidity. The book is being worked, not just quoted.

  3. 3

    Momentum signal firing

    Probability moved down 39.0pp in 24h with 2.1× liquidity turnover and a tight spread.

  4. 4

    Resolution-risk signal firing

    Expires in 2h with open resolution ambiguity.

  5. 5

    Expiry in 2h

    Market resolves within 72 hours — the move likely reflects information about the resolution event itself rather than longer-horizon repricing. Verify the resolution source.

What to track next

  • Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.
  • Wait for the UMA proposal to settle (current status: proposed) — price moves now reflect oracle dynamics, not odds.
  • Set an alert for resolution status changes — expiry is in 2 hours.

Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.

Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.

Timeline

critical · price · trade flow

Critical

  • 20:00Resolve

    Market resolves in 2.2h

    HIGH
  • 17:48Signal

    Momentum down

    Probability moved down 39.0pp in 24h with 2.1× liquidity turnover and a tight spread.

    HIGH
  • 17:48Signal

    Resolution risk

    Expires in 2h with open resolution ambiguity.

    MEDIUM

Price movement

-39.0pp over the last 24h, now 0¢.

Biggest hourly move: -34.4pp at 17:00 (to 0¢).

Show all 17 hour-by-hour ticks
  • 17:00 · -34.4pp → 0¢
  • 16:00 · +5.5pp → 41¢
  • 12:00 · +3.0pp → 38¢
  • 11:00 · +3.0pp → 38¢
  • 21:00 · +4.5pp → 38¢
  • 20:00 · +3.5pp → 38¢
  • 18:00 · +5.5pp → 39¢
  • 1d ago · +3.5pp → 39¢
  • 1d ago · +6.5pp → 39¢
  • 1d ago · +6.5pp → 39¢
  • 1d ago · +6.0pp → 39¢
  • 1d ago · +5.0pp → 39¢
  • 2d ago · +7.0pp → 39¢
  • 2d ago · +7.0pp → 39¢
  • 2d ago · +6.5pp → 39¢
  • 2d ago · +10.0pp → 37¢
  • 2d ago · -15.0pp → 37¢
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB·Polymarket Data

Active signals

Recent Trades

No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.

updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket Data

Market Description

This market refers to the LoL match between LOS and RED Canids in the CBLOL Regular Season, initially scheduled for April 25 at 12:00PM ET. This market will resolve to "LOS" if LOS win Game 1 against RED Canids. This market will resolve to "RED Canids" if RED Canids win Game 1 against LOS. If the match begins but is not completed, and Game 1 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Game 1. If Game 1 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

Resolution & Risk

HIGH risk
End date
Apr 25, 2026
UMA status
proposed
Resolution source
consensus of credible reportingNews consensus
gol.gg
Market type
Binary
  • UMA status: proposed
  • Market expires Apr 25, 2026 — dispute window active.
Read full market rules on Polymarket

Alerts

¢
Deliver

In-app banners fire as soon as a rule is satisfied. Email, Telegram, and Discord delivery are coming soon — every existing rule will keep working without changes.