LoL: Misa Esports vs BoostGate Esports - Game 1 Winner
Probability
83¢
1h
+0.0pp
24h
+11.0pp
24h Vol
$0.00
Liquidity
$1.2K
Probability (last 7 days)
+0.0pp 7dWhy did it move?
Structured · 4 factors- 01Price move
Up 11pp over 24h
Now 83¢; flat in the last hour.
- 02Active signal
Resolution-risk signal firing
Expires in 61h. Spread is extremely wide.
- 03Spread cost
Wide spread — 24.0¢
Bid-ask spread is wide enough that intraday moves overstate any tradeable edge. Most of the headline pp move would be eaten by spread on a market order.
- 04Resolution proximity
Expiry in 61h
Market resolves within 72 hours — the move likely reflects information about the resolution event itself rather than longer-horizon repricing. Verify the resolution source.
What to track next
- Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.
- Set an alert for resolution status changes — expiry is in 61 hours.
Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.
Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.
Timeline
critical · price · trade flowCritical
- 0s agoResolveHIGH
Market resolves in 61.0h
- 08:28SignalMEDIUM
Resolution risk
Expires in 61h. Spread is extremely wide.
Price movement
+11.0pp over the last 24h, now 83¢.
Biggest hourly move: +28.0pp at 2d ago (to 80¢).
Show top 8 of 26 hourly moves
- 08:28 · +11.0pp → 83¢
- 07:00 · +11.0pp → 83¢
- 06:00 · +11.0pp → 83¢
- 05:00 · +11.0pp → 83¢
- 2d ago · +28.0pp → 80¢
- 2d ago · +21.5pp → 73¢
- 2d ago · +21.0pp → 72¢
- 2d ago · +20.0pp → 72¢
Active signals
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market. That usually means liquidity is thin or this market is between event windows.
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Market Description
This market refers to the LoL match between Misa Esports and BoostGate Esports in the TCL Regular Season, initially scheduled for May 1 at 1:30PM ET. This market will resolve to "Misa Esports" if Misa Esports win Game 1 against BoostGate Esports. This market will resolve to "BoostGate Esports" if BoostGate Esports win Game 1 against Misa Esports. If the match begins but is not completed, and Game 1 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Game 1. If Game 1 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.
Resolution & Risk
HIGH risk- End date
- May 1, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- Market type
- Binary
- Market expires May 1, 2026 — dispute window active.
- Wide spread (24.0¢) — liquidity risk on entry/exit.
Alerts
In-app banners fire as soon as a rule is satisfied. Email, Telegram, and Discord delivery are coming soon — every existing rule will keep working without changes.
Top Holders
No holder data from the Data API.