SportsExpires May 1, 2026

LoL: Misa Esports vs BoostGate Esports - Game 2 Winner

Probability

83¢

1h

+0.0pp

24h

+10.5pp

24h Vol

$0.00

Liquidity

$1.2K

Probability (last 7 days)

+0.0pp 7d
Apr 24, 2026, 17:00Apr 29, 2026, 08:27
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB

Why did it move?

Structured · 4 factors
  • 01
    Price move

    Up 11pp over 24h

    Now 83¢; flat in the last hour.

  • 02
    Active signal

    Resolution-risk signal firing

    Expires in 61h. Spread is extremely wide.

  • 03
    Spread cost

    Wide spread — 24.0¢

    Bid-ask spread is wide enough that intraday moves overstate any tradeable edge. Most of the headline pp move would be eaten by spread on a market order.

  • 04
    Resolution proximity

    Expiry in 61h

    Market resolves within 72 hours — the move likely reflects information about the resolution event itself rather than longer-horizon repricing. Verify the resolution source.

What to track next

  • Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.
  • Set an alert for resolution status changes — expiry is in 61 hours.

Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.

Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.

Timeline

critical · price · trade flow

Critical

  • 0s agoResolve

    Market resolves in 61.0h

    HIGH
  • 08:27Signal

    Resolution risk

    Expires in 61h. Spread is extremely wide.

    MEDIUM

Price movement

+10.5pp over the last 24h, now 83¢.

Biggest hourly move: +21.5pp at 2d ago (to 73¢).

Show top 8 of 32 hourly moves
  • 08:27 · +10.5pp → 83¢
  • 07:00 · +10.5pp → 83¢
  • 06:00 · +10.5pp → 83¢
  • 05:00 · +10.5pp → 83¢
  • 2d ago · +21.5pp → 73¢
  • 2d ago · +21.5pp → 73¢
  • 2d ago · +21.5pp → 73¢
  • 2d ago · +21.5pp → 73¢
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB·Polymarket Data

Active signals

Recent Trades

No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market. That usually means liquidity is thin or this market is between event windows.

updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket Data

Market Description

This market refers to the LoL match between Misa Esports and BoostGate Esports in the TCL Regular Season, initially scheduled for May 1 at 1:30PM ET. This market will resolve to "Misa Esports" if Misa Esports win Game 2 against BoostGate Esports. This market will resolve to "BoostGate Esports" if BoostGate Esports win Game 2 against Misa Esports. If the match begins but is not completed, and Game 2 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Game 2. If Game 2 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

Resolution & Risk

HIGH risk
End date
May 1, 2026
UMA status
n/a
Resolution source
Primary
consensus of credible reporting
Link
Type
News consensus
Market type
Binary
  • Market expires May 1, 2026 — dispute window active.
  • Wide spread (24.0¢) — liquidity risk on entry/exit.
Read full market rules on Polymarket

Alerts

¢
Deliver

In-app banners fire as soon as a rule is satisfied. Email, Telegram, and Discord delivery are coming soon — every existing rule will keep working without changes.

Top Holders

No holder data from the Data API.