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OtherExpires May 1, 2026

Game Handicap: MVE (-1.5) vs Bohemian Guardians (+1.5)

Probability

38¢

1h

+0.0pp

24h

+6.5pp

24h Vol

$0.00

Liquidity

$281.67

Probability (last 7 days)

+0.0pp 7d
Apr 22, 2026, 15:00Apr 25, 2026, 14:50
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB

Why did it move?

Structured · 3 factors
  1. 1

    Up 7pp over 24h

    Now 38¢; flat in the last hour.

  2. 2

    Resolution-risk signal firing

    Expires in 149h with open resolution ambiguity.

  3. 3

    Wide spread — 40.0¢

    Bid-ask spread is wide enough that intraday moves overstate any tradeable edge. Most of the headline pp move would be eaten by spread on a market order.

What to track next

  • Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.

Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.

Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.

AI prose summary

 

Prose narration of the same metrics shown in the structured breakdown above. Cites only the market data on this page — no news, no predictions. Use the structured factors as the canonical answer; this is here for readability.

Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves

AllTradesSignalsPrice
  • 0s agoResolve

    Market resolves in 149.2h

    LOW
  • 14:50Signal

    Signal · Resolution risk

    Expires in 149h with open resolution ambiguity.

    LOW
  • 09:00Price

    Probability down -12.5pp

    to 38¢

    MEDIUM
  • 08:00Price

    Probability down -12.5pp

    to 38¢

    MEDIUM
  • 06:00Price

    Probability down -9.0pp

    to 42¢

    MEDIUM
  • 05:00Price

    Probability down -19.0pp

    to 31¢

    MEDIUM
  • 03:00Price

    Probability down -19.0pp

    to 31¢

    MEDIUM
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB·Polymarket Data

Active signals

Recent Trades

No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.

updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket Data

Market Description

This market refers to the LoL match between Meavedron and Bohemian Guardians in the Hitpoint Masters Regular Season, initially scheduled for May 1 at 10:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Meavedron" if Meavedron wins 2 or more games than Bohemian Guardians in this match. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Bohemian Guardians". Games won by forfeit, disqualification, walkover, or default are counted towards the handicap, provided that the match is completed. If the match is canceled (not played at all for any reason), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's match forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match ends due to the clinching game being forfeited this will count as a completed match. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

Resolution & Risk

LOW risk
End date
May 1, 2026
UMA status
n/a
Resolution source
https://gol.gg/esports/homeNews consensus
Market type
Binary
  • Wide spread (40.0¢) — liquidity risk on entry/exit.
Read full market rules on Polymarket

Alerts

¢
Deliver

In-app banners work now. Email / Telegram / Discord delivery lands when the backend alert dispatcher ships (needs RESEND_API_KEY + per-user webhook storage).

Top Holders

No holder data from the Data API.