Total Kills Over/Under 26.5 in Game 1?
Probability
99¢
1h
+0.0pp
24h
+45.5pp
24h Vol
$54.9K
Liquidity
$21.1K
Probability (last 7 days)
+0.0pp 7dWhy did it move?
Structured · 5 factors- 1
Up 45pp over 24h
Now 99¢; flat in the last hour.
- 2
Heavy volume on this book — 2.6× turnover
$54.9k traded against $21.1k of visible liquidity. The book is being worked, not just quoted.
- 3
Resolution-risk signal firing
Market has reached expiry. Watch the UMA dispute window.
- 4
Thin liquidity
Only $21.1k of visible book — small orders can move the line. Treat the probability as a soft estimate.
- 5
Past expiry — awaiting resolution
Market is past its end date. Any price move now is a settlement / dispute artefact, not new information.
What to track next
- Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.
- Wait for the UMA proposal to settle (current status: disputed) — price moves now reflect oracle dynamics, not odds.
Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.
Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.
AI prose summary
Prose narration of the same metrics shown in the structured breakdown above. Cites only the market data on this page — no news, no predictions. Use the structured factors as the canonical answer; this is here for readability.
Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves
- 15:42SignalMEDIUM
Signal · Resolution risk
Market has reached expiry. Watch the UMA dispute window.
- 15:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 49.5pp
to 99¢
- 13:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 49.5pp
to 99¢
- 12:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 49.5pp
to 99¢
- 10:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 49.5pp
to 99¢
- 09:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 49.5pp
to 99¢
- 08:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 49.5pp
to 99¢
- 06:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 49.5pp
to 100¢
- 05:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 48.3pp
to 98¢
- 03:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 48.3pp
to 98¢
- 02:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 48.3pp
to 98¢
- 00:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 48.3pp
to 98¢
- 23:40ResolveHIGH
Market resolved 16h ago
- 22:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 49.5pp
to 100¢
- 20:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 49.5pp
to 100¢
- 19:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 44.0pp
to 93¢
- 17:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -25.5pp
to 25¢
- 16:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 6.5pp
to 57¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 3.5pp
to 54¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 3.5pp
to 54¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 3.5pp
to 54¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 4.0pp
to 54¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 3.0pp
to 53¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 3.0pp
to 53¢
Active signals
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.
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Market Description
In the upcoming match between Natus Vincere and Karmine Corp in the LEC Regular Season, initially scheduled for April 24 at 12:30PM ET: This market is about the total kills in Game 1. This market will resolve to "Over" if the total kills in Game 1 is 27 or more. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Under". If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date, this market will resolve to 50-50. If Game 1 is never played due to forfeit, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to 50-50. If Game 1 begins but is not completed, this market will resolve to 50-50. If Game 1 is remade, resolution will be based on the total kills in the remade game only. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.
Resolution & Risk
HIGH risk- End date
- Apr 24, 2026
- UMA status
- disputed
- Resolution source
- https://gol.gg/esports/homeNews consensus
- Market type
- Binary
- UMA status: disputed
- Market expires Apr 24, 2026 — dispute window active.
Alerts
In-app banners work now. Email / Telegram / Discord delivery lands when the backend alert dispatcher ships (needs RESEND_API_KEY + per-user webhook storage).
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