Game Handicap: BLG (-1.5) vs Ninjas in Pyjamas (+1.5)

• 01
  Price move

  Down 6pp over 24h

  Now 38¢; -38.0pp in the last hour.

• 02
  Volume pressure

  Heavy volume on this book — 472.4× turnover

  $37.5k traded against $79 of visible liquidity. The book is being worked, not just quoted.

• 03
  Active signal

  Resolution-risk signal firing

  Expires in 4h. Spread is extremely wide.

• 04
  Spread cost

  Wide spread — 75.0¢

  Bid-ask spread is wide enough that intraday moves overstate any tradeable edge. Most of the headline pp move would be eaten by spread on a market order.

Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.

This market refers to the LoL match between Ninjas in Pyjamas and Bilibili Gaming in the LPL Group Ascend, initially scheduled for May 3 at 7:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Bilibili Gaming" if Bilibili Gaming wins 2 or more games than Ninjas in Pyjamas in this match. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Ninjas in Pyjamas". Games won by forfeit, disqualification, walkover, or default are counted towards the handicap, provided that the match is completed. If the match is canceled (not played at all for any reason), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's match forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match ends due to the clinching game being forfeited this will count as a completed match. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.