Game 3: Both Teams Slay a Dragon?
Probability
100¢
1h
+49.5pp
24h
+55.5pp
24h Vol
$0.00
Liquidity
$123.99
Resolution & Risk
HIGH risk- End date
- May 3, 2026
- UMA status
- proposed
- Resolution source
- Market type
- Binary
- UMA status: proposed
- Market expires May 3, 2026 — dispute window active.
Probability (last 7 days)
+48.0pp 7dWhy did it move?
Structured · 3 factors- 01Price move
Up 56pp over 24h
Now 100¢; +49.5pp in the last hour.
- 02Active signal
Resolution-risk signal firing
Expires in 1h. UMA dispute is active.
- 03Liquidity
Thin liquidity
Only $124 of visible book — small orders can move the line. Treat the probability as a soft estimate.
What to track next
- Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.
- Wait for the UMA proposal to settle (current status: proposed) — price moves now reflect oracle dynamics, not odds.
- Set an alert for resolution status changes — expiry is in 1 hours.
Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.
Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.
Resolution & Risk
HIGH risk- End date
- May 3, 2026
- UMA status
- proposed
- Resolution source
- Market type
- Binary
- UMA status: proposed
- Market expires May 3, 2026 — dispute window active.
Timeline
critical · price · trade flowCritical
- 18:00ResolveHIGH
Market resolves in 1.0h
- 17:00SignalMEDIUM
Resolution risk
Expires in 1h. UMA dispute is active.
Price movement
+55.5pp over the last 24h, now 100¢.
Biggest hourly move: +55.5pp at 17:00 (to 100¢).
Show top 8 of 45 hourly moves
- 17:00 · +55.5pp → 100¢
- 3d ago · -7.5pp → 44¢
- 3d ago · -7.5pp → 44¢
- 3d ago · -7.0pp → 44¢
- 3d ago · -7.0pp → 44¢
- 3d ago · -7.0pp → 44¢
- 3d ago · -7.0pp → 44¢
- 3d ago · -8.0pp → 44¢
Active signals
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market. That usually means liquidity is thin or this market is between event windows.
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Market Description
This market is about whether both teams slay at least one elemental dragon during Game 3. In League of Legends, elemental dragons (Infernal, Mountain, Ocean, Hextech, Chemtech, and Cloud) spawn in the dragon pit starting at 5:00 game time. After being slain, the next dragon spawns 5 minutes later. Once a team claims the Dragon Soul (by slaying four dragons), all subsequent dragon spawns become Elder Dragons. This market will resolve to "Yes" if both Ninjas in Pyjamas and Bilibili Gaming each slay at least one elemental dragon during Game 3. This market will resolve to "No" if either team (or both teams) does not slay any elemental dragon during Game 3. Only elemental dragons count toward this market — Elder Dragon kills do not count. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date, this market will resolve to 50-50. If Game 3 is never played due to forfeit, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to 50-50. If Game 3 is not played because the series result has already been determined (e.g., a team clinches the series before Game 3 is needed), this market will resolve to 50-50. If Game 3 begins but is not completed and ends via surrender, this market will resolve based on whether both teams had slain at least one elemental dragon prior to stoppage. If the condition was not met, this market will resolve to "No". If Game 3 is remade, resolution will be based on the remade game only. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.
Alerts
In-app banners fire as soon as a rule is satisfied. Email, Telegram, and Discord delivery are coming soon — every existing rule will keep working without changes.
Top Holders
No holder data from the Data API.