Game Handicap: JDG (-1.5) vs Ninjas in Pyjamas (+1.5)
Probability
34¢
1h
+0.0pp
24h
-1.0pp
24h Vol
$25.00
Liquidity
$178.74
Probability (last 7 days)
+0.0pp 7dWhy did it move?
Structured · 3 factors- 1
Down 1pp over 24h
Now 34¢; flat in the last hour.
- 2
Resolution-risk signal firing
Expires in 98h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 3
Wide spread — 37.0¢
Bid-ask spread is wide enough that intraday moves overstate any tradeable edge. Most of the headline pp move would be eaten by spread on a market order.
What to track next
- Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.
Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.
Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.
AI prose summary
Prose narration of the same metrics shown in the structured breakdown above. Cites only the market data on this page — no news, no predictions. Use the structured factors as the canonical answer; this is here for readability.
Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves
- 0s agoResolveLOW
Market resolves in 97.6h
- 13:26SignalLOW
Signal · Resolution risk
Expires in 98h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 12:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -13.0pp
to 34¢
- 08:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -6.0pp
to 29¢
- 06:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 4.0pp
to 41¢
- 05:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -5.0pp
to 29¢
- 03:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -5.0pp
to 29¢
- 02:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -5.5pp
to 28¢
- 00:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -4.5pp
to 29¢
- 23:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -15.5pp
to 35¢
- 21:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -21.5pp
to 28¢
- 20:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -16.0pp
to 34¢
- 18:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -18.0pp
to 33¢
- 17:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -18.0pp
to 33¢
- 16:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -18.0pp
to 33¢
Active signals
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.
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Market Description
This market refers to the LoL match between Ninjas in Pyjamas and JD Gaming in the LPL Group Ascend, initially scheduled for April 29 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "JD Gaming" if JD Gaming wins 2 or more games than Ninjas in Pyjamas in this match. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Ninjas in Pyjamas". Games won by forfeit, disqualification, walkover, or default are counted towards the handicap, provided that the match is completed. If the match is canceled (not played at all for any reason), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's match forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match ends due to the clinching game being forfeited this will count as a completed match. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.
Resolution & Risk
LOW risk- End date
- Apr 29, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- https://gol.gg/esports/homeNews consensus
- Market type
- Binary
- Wide spread (37.0¢) — liquidity risk on entry/exit.
Alerts
In-app banners work now. Email / Telegram / Discord delivery lands when the backend alert dispatcher ships (needs RESEND_API_KEY + per-user webhook storage).