LoL: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs JD Gaming - Game 1 Winner
Probability
48¢
1h
+2.0pp
24h
+4.5pp
24h Vol
$149.32
Liquidity
$339.78
Probability (last 7 days)
+0.0pp 7dWhy did it move?
Structured · 3 factors- 1
Up 5pp over 24h
Now 48¢; +2.0pp in the last hour.
- 2
Resolution-risk signal firing
Expires in 88h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 3
Wide spread — 53.0¢
Bid-ask spread is wide enough that intraday moves overstate any tradeable edge. Most of the headline pp move would be eaten by spread on a market order.
What to track next
- Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.
Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.
Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.
Timeline
critical · price · trade flowCritical
- 0s agoResolveLOW
Market resolves in 88.4h
- 20:37SignalLOW
Resolution risk
Expires in 88h with open resolution ambiguity.
Price movement
+4.5pp over the last 24h, now 48¢.
Biggest hourly move: -9.5pp at 14:00 (to 31¢).
Show all 11 hour-by-hour ticks
- 20:00 · +5.5pp → 46¢
- 18:00 · -8.0pp → 37¢
- 14:00 · -9.5pp → 31¢
- 12:00 · -3.5pp → 37¢
- 09:00 · +5.5pp → 43¢
- 23:00 · -8.0pp → 43¢
- 21:00 · -9.0pp → 43¢
- 1d ago · -7.5pp → 43¢
- 1d ago · -8.0pp → 43¢
- 1d ago · -9.0pp → 44¢
- 1d ago · -4.5pp → 46¢
Active signals
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.
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Market Description
This market refers to the LoL match between Ninjas in Pyjamas and JD Gaming in the LPL Group Ascend, initially scheduled for April 29 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Ninjas in Pyjamas" if Ninjas in Pyjamas win Game 1 against JD Gaming. This market will resolve to "JD Gaming" if JD Gaming win Game 1 against Ninjas in Pyjamas. If the match begins but is not completed, and Game 1 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Game 1. If Game 1 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.
Resolution & Risk
LOW risk- End date
- Apr 29, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- Market type
- Binary
- Wide spread (53.0¢) — liquidity risk on entry/exit.
Alerts
In-app banners fire as soon as a rule is satisfied. Email, Telegram, and Discord delivery are coming soon — every existing rule will keep working without changes.