SportsExpires Apr 30, 2026

LoL: NRG Esports vs Citadel Gaming - Game 1 Winner

Probability

72¢

1h

+0.0pp

24h

-4.0pp

24h Vol

$1.5K

Liquidity

$11.3K

Resolution & Risk

HIGH risk
End date
Apr 30, 2026
UMA status
n/a
Resolution source
Primary
consensus of credible reporting
Link
gol.gg
Type
News consensus
Market type
Binary
  • Market expires Apr 30, 2026 — dispute window active.
Read full market rules on Polymarket

Probability (last 7 days)

+0.0pp 7d
Apr 26, 2026, 02:00Apr 29, 2026, 19:47
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB

Why did it move?

Structured · 4 factors
  • 01
    Price move

    Down 4pp over 24h

    Now 72¢; flat in the last hour.

  • 02
    Active signal

    Resolution-risk signal firing

    Expires in 4h.

  • 03
    Liquidity

    Thin liquidity

    Only $11.3k of visible book — small orders can move the line. Treat the probability as a soft estimate.

  • 04
    Resolution proximity

    Expiry in 4h

    Market resolves within 72 hours — the move likely reflects information about the resolution event itself rather than longer-horizon repricing. Verify the resolution source.

What to track next

  • Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.
  • Set an alert for resolution status changes — expiry is in 4 hours.

Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.

Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.

Timeline

critical · price · trade flow

Critical

  • 00:00Resolve

    Market resolves in 4.2h

    HIGH
  • 19:47Signal

    Resolution risk

    Expires in 4h.

    LOW

Price movement

-4.0pp over the last 24h, now 72¢.

Biggest hourly move: +25.0pp at 1d ago (to 76¢).

Show top 8 of 22 hourly moves
  • 02:00 · +25.0pp → 76¢
  • 01:00 · +25.0pp → 76¢
  • 00:00 · +25.0pp → 76¢
  • 22:00 · +25.0pp → 76¢
  • 20:00 · +24.5pp → 76¢
  • 1d ago · +25.0pp → 76¢
  • 1d ago · +24.0pp → 75¢
  • 1d ago · +24.0pp → 75¢
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB·Polymarket Data

Active signals

Recent Trades

No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market. That usually means liquidity is thin or this market is between event windows.

Open whale feedBrowse related marketsAlert me on the next trade
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket Data

Related Markets

14
Same eventLoL: NRG Esports vs Citadel Gaming (BO3) - North American Challengers League Regular Season
Category · Sports

Market Description

This market refers to the LoL match between NRG Esports and Citadel Gaming in the North American Challengers League Regular Season, initially scheduled for April 29 at 4:00PM ET. This market will resolve to "NRG Esports" if NRG Esports win Game 1 against Citadel Gaming. This market will resolve to "Citadel Gaming" if Citadel Gaming win Game 1 against NRG Esports. If the match begins but is not completed, and Game 1 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Game 1. If Game 1 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

Alerts

¢
Deliver

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Top Holders

11 wallets
Open on Polymarket