LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs T1 - Game 1 Winner
Probability
32¢
1h
+1.0pp
24h
-1.5pp
24h Vol
$11.7K
Liquidity
$85.0K
Probability (last 7 days)
+0.0pp 7dWhy did it move?
Structured · 5 factors- 01Price move
Down 2pp over 24h
Now 32¢; +1.0pp in the last hour.
- 02Volume pressure
Light volume — move on a thin book
Only $11.7k traded against $85.0k of visible liquidity (0.14× turnover). Treat the move as low-confidence until volume confirms.
- 03Active signal
Divergence signal firing
Price is moving against its 24h trend — 1h +1.0pp vs. 24h -1.5pp.
- 04Active signal
Resolution-risk signal firing
Expires in 6h.
- 05Resolution proximity
Expiry in 6h
Market resolves within 72 hours — the move likely reflects information about the resolution event itself rather than longer-horizon repricing. Verify the resolution source.
What to track next
- Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.
- Set an alert for resolution status changes — expiry is in 6 hours.
Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.
Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.
Timeline
critical · price · trade flowCritical
- 12:00ResolveHIGH
Market resolves in 6.0h
- 06:01SignalMEDIUM
Short-term vs. trend divergence
Price is moving against its 24h trend — 1h +1.0pp vs. 24h -1.5pp.
- 06:01SignalLOW
Resolution risk
Expires in 6h.
Price movement
-1.5pp over the last 24h, now 32¢.
Biggest hourly move: -31.5pp at 22:00 (to 31¢).
Show 7 hourly moves
- 06:00 · -5.5pp → 32¢
- 05:00 · -6.5pp → 31¢
- 03:00 · -6.5pp → 31¢
- 02:00 · -6.5pp → 31¢
- 00:00 · -31.5pp → 31¢
- 22:00 · -31.5pp → 31¢
- 20:00 · -19.0pp → 31¢
Active signals
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market. That usually means liquidity is thin or this market is between event windows.
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Market Description
This market refers to the LoL match between Nongshim Red Force and T1 in the LCK Rounds 1-2, initially scheduled for April 29 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Nongshim Red Force" if Nongshim Red Force win Game 1 against T1. This market will resolve to "T1" if T1 win Game 1 against Nongshim Red Force. If the match begins but is not completed, and Game 1 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Game 1. If Game 1 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.
Resolution & Risk
HIGH risk- End date
- Apr 29, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- Market type
- Binary
- Market expires Apr 29, 2026 — dispute window active.
Alerts
In-app banners fire as soon as a rule is satisfied. Email, Telegram, and Discord delivery are coming soon — every existing rule will keep working without changes.
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