SportsExpires Apr 30, 2026

LoL: Nongshim Esports Academy vs HANJIN BRION Challengers - Game 1 Winner

Probability

0¢

1h

+0.0pp

24h

-72.5pp

24h Vol

$29.8K

Liquidity

$169.7K

Resolution & Risk

HIGH risk
End date
Apr 30, 2026
UMA status
proposed
Resolution source
Primary
consensus of credible reporting
Link
gol.gg
Type
News consensus
Market type
Binary
  • UMA status: proposed
  • Market expires Apr 30, 2026 — dispute window active.
Read full market rules on Polymarket

Probability (last 7 days)

+0.0pp 7d
Apr 25, 2026, 08:00Apr 30, 2026, 07:56
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB

Why did it move?

Structured · 5 factors
  • 01
    Price move

    Down 72pp over 24h

    Now 0¢; flat in the last hour.

  • 02
    Volume pressure

    Light volume — move on a thin book

    Only $29.8k traded against $169.7k of visible liquidity (0.18× turnover). Treat the move as low-confidence until volume confirms.

  • 03
    Active signal

    Resolution-risk signal firing

    Expires in 3h. UMA dispute is active.

  • 04
    Resolution proximity

    Expiry in 3h

    Market resolves within 72 hours — the move likely reflects information about the resolution event itself rather than longer-horizon repricing. Verify the resolution source.

  • 05
    UMA status

    UMA status: proposed

    An open UMA dispute or pending oracle vote can move price independently of underlying odds. Wait for settlement before treating the line as the market view.

What to track next

  • Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.
  • Wait for the UMA proposal to settle (current status: proposed) — price moves now reflect oracle dynamics, not odds.
  • Set an alert for resolution status changes — expiry is in 3 hours.

Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.

Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.

Timeline

critical · price · trade flow

Critical

  • 11:10Resolve

    Market resolves in 3.2h

    HIGH
  • 07:56Signal

    Resolution risk

    Expires in 3h. UMA dispute is active.

    MEDIUM

Price movement

-72.5pp over the last 24h, now 0¢.

Biggest hourly move: -80.5pp at 06:00 (to 0¢).

Show top 8 of 42 hourly moves
  • 07:00 · -80.0pp → 0¢
  • 06:00 · -80.5pp → 0¢
  • 05:00 · -30.0pp → 50¢
  • 10:00 · +22.0pp → 73¢
  • 2d ago · +28.0pp → 79¢
  • 2d ago · +28.0pp → 79¢
  • 2d ago · +28.5pp → 80¢
  • 3d ago · +30.0pp → 80¢
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB·Polymarket Data

Active signals

Recent Trades

No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market. That usually means liquidity is thin or this market is between event windows.

Open whale feedBrowse related marketsAlert me on the next trade
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket Data

Related Markets

14
Same eventLoL: Nongshim Esports Academy vs HANJIN BRION Challengers (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 1-2
Category · Sports

Market Description

This market refers to the LoL match between Nongshim Esports Academy and HANJIN BRION Challengers in the LCK Challengers League Rounds 1-2, initially scheduled for April 30 at 1:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Nongshim Esports Academy" if Nongshim Esports Academy win Game 1 against HANJIN BRION Challengers. This market will resolve to "HANJIN BRION Challengers" if HANJIN BRION Challengers win Game 1 against Nongshim Esports Academy. If the match begins but is not completed, and Game 1 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Game 1. If Game 1 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

Alerts

¢
Deliver

In-app banners fire as soon as a rule is satisfied. Email, Telegram, and Discord delivery are coming soon — every existing rule will keep working without changes.

Top Holders

20 wallets
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