Wry-Meatloaf
0xbb9f224569285cb57f433bbe2e71f9b8a11b557b
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
111
Open notional
$3.2K
Total PnL
$585.62
Realised
$1.4K
Win rate
70%
61 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 111- NO
Will Donald Trump be the #1 searched person on Google this year?
283 shares @ 88.0¢·now 89.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$253.28
$4.24
- NO
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from July 27 to July 29, 2026?
754 shares @ 41.7¢·now 30.5¢·exp Jul 29, 2026$229.82
$-84.30
- NO
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from July 27 to July 29, 2026?
224 shares @ 83.0¢·now 82.5¢·exp Jul 29, 2026$184.77
$-1.11
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 34°C on July 28?
178 shares @ 60.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 28, 2026$178.04
$69.51
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from July 21 to July 28, 2026?
173 shares @ 31.6¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 28, 2026$172.50
$118.00
- NO
Will Mike Mazzei win the 2026 Oklahoma Governor Republican primary election?
862 shares @ 25.7¢·now 19.4¢·exp Jun 16, 2026$166.89
$-54.92
- NO
Will any AI model reach 1560 Coding Arena Score by December 31, 2026?
281 shares @ 51.8¢·now 51.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$143.41
$-2.40
- YES
Will any AI model reach 1580 Coding Arena Score by December 31, 2026?
300 shares @ 37.0¢·now 47.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$142.34
$31.46
- NO
Will Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026?
220 shares @ 20.2¢·now 53.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$117.87
$73.32
- YES
Will Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026?
245 shares @ 46.0¢·now 46.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$113.79
$1.22
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from July 27 to July 29, 2026?$10.67Jul 28, 18:06 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Paris be 32°C on July 28?$0.66Jul 28, 17:46 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Paris be 32°C on July 28?$0.66Jul 28, 17:45 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from July 21 to July 28, 2026?$0.00Jul 28, 17:45 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from July 21 to July 28, 2026?$134.33Jul 28, 17:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYHormuz Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?$10.20Jul 28, 17:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Paris be 32°C on July 28?$5.04Jul 28, 17:01 UTC
- TRADESELLMubadala Citi DC Open: Alexandra Eala vs Qinwen Zheng$36.00Jul 28, 17:01 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Paris be 32°C on July 28?$7.31Jul 28, 16:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYU.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by July 31?$6.79Jul 28, 16:43 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post <40 tweets from July 27 to July 29, 2026?$64.77Jul 28, 16:42 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026?$2.70Jul 28, 16:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026?$112.57Jul 28, 16:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Paris be 33°C on July 28?$1.70Jul 28, 16:31 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post <40 tweets from July 27 to July 29, 2026?$2.00Jul 28, 16:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Madrid be 38°C on July 28?$0.04Jul 28, 16:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Paris be 32°C on July 28?$0.38Jul 28, 16:09 UTC
- TRADESELLMubadala Citi DC Open: Alexandra Eala vs Qinwen Zheng$82.08Jul 28, 16:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Paris be 32°C on July 28?$0.79Jul 28, 16:01 UTC
- REDEEMWill the lowest temperature in Seoul be 26°C on July 28?$0.00Jul 28, 16:01 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
76/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
70% win rate over 61 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
29/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
47 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 32/100.
61 closed markets, 70% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 47
- Avg trade size
- $19.50
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 28, 14:41 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 28, 18:06 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 61 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.