LoL: Shifters vs Fnatic - Game 1 Winner
Probability
0¢
1h
+0.0pp
24h
-38.0pp
24h Vol
$416.7K
Liquidity
$208.3K
Probability (last 7 days)
+0.0pp 7dWhy did it move?
Without an Anthropic API key we show a heuristic summary derived from the market metrics.
Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves
- 21:10ResolveHIGH
Market resolves in 3.0h
- 18:10SignalHIGH
Signal · Clustered NO flow
25 trades ($5,882) aligned on NO across 22 wallets in the last 30 min.
- 18:10SignalMEDIUM
Signal · Resolution risk
Expires in 3h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 18:07TradeMEDIUM
Motionless-Artifact · SELL YES $5.3K
@ 88¢
- 18:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -43.0pp
to 0¢
- 17:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -40.9pp
to 0¢
- 16:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -40.9pp
to 0¢
- 03:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 3.0pp
to 44¢
Active signals
Recent Trades
25- SELLUP3m ago
- BUYNATUS VINCERE3m ago
- BUYDOWN3m ago
- BUYDOWN3m ago
- BUYDOWN3m ago
- SELLYES3m ago
- BUYYES3m ago
- BUYDOWN3m ago
- BUYDOWN3m ago
- BUYDOWN3m ago
- BUYNATUS VINCERE3m ago
- BUYYES3m ago
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Market Description
This market refers to the LoL match between Shifters and Fnatic in the LEC Regular Season, initially scheduled for April 24 at 10:45AM ET. This market will resolve to "Shifters" if Shifters win Game 1 against Fnatic. This market will resolve to "Fnatic" if Fnatic win Game 1 against Shifters. If the match begins but is not completed, and Game 1 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Game 1. If Game 1 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.
Resolution & Risk
HIGH risk- End date
- Apr 24, 2026
- Resolution source
- https://gol.gg/esports/home
- UMA status
- proposed
- Market type
- Binary
- UMA status: proposed
- Market expires Apr 24, 2026 — dispute window active.
Alerts
In-app banners work now. Email / Telegram / Discord delivery lands when the backend alert dispatcher ships (needs RESEND_API_KEY + per-user webhook storage).
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