Total Kills Over/Under 26.5 in Game 2?
Probability
90¢
1h
-9.5pp
24h
+36.0pp
24h Vol
$34.99
Liquidity
$284.55
Resolution & Risk
HIGH risk- End date
- May 5, 2026
- UMA status
- proposed
- Resolution source
- Market type
- Binary
- UMA status: proposed
- Market expires May 5, 2026 — dispute window active.
- Wide spread (20.0¢) — liquidity risk on entry/exit.
Probability (last 7 days)
+40.0pp 7dWhy did it move?
Structured · 3 factors- 01Price move
Up 36pp over 24h
Now 90¢; -9.5pp in the last hour.
- 02Active signal
Resolution-risk signal firing
Expires in 2h. UMA disputed and spread is extremely wide.
- 03Spread cost
Wide spread — 20.0¢
Bid-ask spread is wide enough that intraday moves overstate any tradeable edge. Most of the headline pp move would be eaten by spread on a market order.
What to track next
- Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.
- Wait for the UMA proposal to settle (current status: proposed) — price moves now reflect oracle dynamics, not odds.
- Set an alert for resolution status changes — expiry is in 2 hours.
Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.
Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.
Resolution & Risk
HIGH risk- End date
- May 5, 2026
- UMA status
- proposed
- Resolution source
- Market type
- Binary
- UMA status: proposed
- Market expires May 5, 2026 — dispute window active.
- Wide spread (20.0¢) — liquidity risk on entry/exit.
Timeline
critical · price · trade flowCritical
- 00:00ResolveHIGH
Market resolves in 2.4h
- 21:37SignalHIGH
Resolution risk
Expires in 2h. UMA disputed and spread is extremely wide.
Price movement
+36.0pp over the last 24h, now 90¢.
Biggest hourly move: +49.5pp at 20:00 (to 100¢).
Show top 8 of 18 hourly moves
- 21:37 · +40.0pp → 90¢
- 20:00 · +49.5pp → 100¢
- 19:00 · +11.0pp → 61¢
- 17:00 · +6.0pp → 56¢
- 15:00 · +4.5pp → 55¢
- 14:00 · +4.5pp → 55¢
- 13:00 · +4.5pp → 55¢
- 12:00 · +4.5pp → 55¢
Active signals
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market. That usually means liquidity is thin or this market is between event windows.
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Market Description
In the upcoming match between Shifters and Movistar KOI in the LEC Regular Season, initially scheduled for May 4 at 1:15PM ET: This market is about the total kills in Game 2. This market will resolve to "Over" if the total kills in Game 2 is 27 or more. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Under". If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date, this market will resolve to 50-50. If Game 2 is never played due to forfeit, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to 50-50. If Game 2 begins but is not completed, this market will resolve to 50-50. If Game 2 is remade, resolution will be based on the total kills in the remade game only. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.
Alerts
In-app banners fire as soon as a rule is satisfied. Email, Telegram, and Discord delivery are coming soon — every existing rule will keep working without changes.