YES — currently 28% implied probability on Polymarket. Change in last 24h: +0.0pp. Resolution sourced from https://www.nba.com/, resolves by May 5, 2026.

NO — currently 72% implied probability on Polymarket. Resolution sourced from https://www.nba.com/, resolves by May 5, 2026.

What is the current Polymarket probability for "76ers vs. Knicks"?

As of Sun, 03 May 2026 16:54:24 GMT, YES is priced at 28% implied probability on Polymarket. The price changed +0.0pp in the last 24 hours.

When does this market resolve?

This market resolves by May 5, 2026. Resolution is determined from https://www.nba.com/.

What source determines the outcome?

Resolution is sourced from https://www.nba.com/. Polymarket's UMA optimistic oracle is the final settlement layer; if the published source is ambiguous, UMA tokenholders adjudicate.

How much is being traded on this market?

$40.0K traded in the last 24 hours. Lifetime volume: $40.0K. Open liquidity in the orderbook: $50.1K.

Where can I see the live data, signals, and whale flow for this market?

Orrery's per-market terminal at https://orrery.me/markets/nba-phi-nyk-2026-05-04 renders a 7-day probability chart, recent trades scoped to this market, top YES/NO holders, all firing signals (momentum / divergence / flow / resolution-risk), and an AI-generated movement explanation. A machine-readable Markdown summary is available at https://orrery.me/markets/nba-phi-nyk-2026-05-04/markdown.

SportsExpires May 5, 2026

Creator

76ers vs. Knicks

Probability

28¢

+0.0pp

24h

+0.0pp

24h Vol

$40.0K

Liquidity

$50.1K

Resolution & Risk

HIGH risk

End date: May 5, 2026
UMA status: n/a
Resolution source: Primary
based on the final score including any overtime periods
Link
nba.com
Type
Ambiguous wording
Market type: Binary

Market expires May 5, 2026 — dispute window active.

Read full market rules on Polymarket

Probability (last 7 days)

+0.0pp 7d

May 3, 2026, 05:00May 3, 2026, 16:54

updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB

Why did it move?

Structured · 1 factor

01
Active signal
Resolution-risk signal firing
Expires in 31h.

What to track next

Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.
Set an alert for resolution status changes — expiry is in 31 hours.

Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.

Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.

Resolution & Risk

HIGH risk

End date: May 5, 2026
UMA status: n/a
Resolution source: Primary
based on the final score including any overtime periods
Link
nba.com
Type
Ambiguous wording
Market type: Binary

Market expires May 5, 2026 — dispute window active.

Read full market rules on Polymarket

Timeline

critical · price · trade flow

Critical

0s agoResolve
Market resolves in 31.1h
HIGH
16:54Signal
Resolution risk
Expires in 31h.
MEDIUM

Price movement

+0.0pp over the last 24h, now 28¢.

updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB·Polymarket Data

Active signals

Recent Trades

No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market. That usually means liquidity is thin or this market is between event windows.

Open whale feed Browse related markets Alert me on the next trade

updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket Data

Related Markets

Category · Sports

Market Description

In the upcoming NBA game, scheduled for May 4 at 8:00PM ET: If the 76ers win, the market will resolve to "76ers". If the Knicks win, the market will resolve to "Knicks". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods.

Alerts

Deliver

In-app banners fire as soon as a rule is satisfied. Email, Telegram, and Discord delivery are coming soon — every existing rule will keep working without changes.

Top Holders

20 wallets

YES

Open on Polymarket