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OtherExpires Apr 26, 2026

LoL: Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming vs Deep Cross Gaming - Game 2 Winner

Probability

54¢

1h

+0.5pp

24h

+6.5pp

24h Vol

$1.1K

Liquidity

$17.3K

Probability (last 7 days)

+0.0pp 7d
Apr 20, 2026, 04:00Apr 25, 2026, 16:38
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB

Why did it move?

Structured · 4 factors
  1. 1

    Up 7pp over 24h

    Now 54¢; +0.5pp in the last hour.

  2. 2

    Resolution-risk signal firing

    Expires in 20h with open resolution ambiguity.

  3. 3

    Wide spread — 6.0¢

    Bid-ask spread is wide enough that intraday moves overstate any tradeable edge. Most of the headline pp move would be eaten by spread on a market order.

  4. 4

    Expiry in 20h

    Market resolves within 72 hours — the move likely reflects information about the resolution event itself rather than longer-horizon repricing. Verify the resolution source.

What to track next

  • Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.
  • Set an alert for resolution status changes — expiry is in 20 hours.

Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.

Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.

AI prose summary

 

Prose narration of the same metrics shown in the structured breakdown above. Cites only the market data on this page — no news, no predictions. Use the structured factors as the canonical answer; this is here for readability.

Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves

AllTradesSignalsPrice
  • 13:00Resolve

    Market resolves in 20.4h

    HIGH
  • 16:38Signal

    Signal · Resolution risk

    Expires in 20h with open resolution ambiguity.

    LOW
  • 16:38Price

    Probability up 5.5pp

    to 54¢

    MEDIUM
  • 15:00Price

    Probability up 5.0pp

    to 54¢

    MEDIUM
  • 14:00Price

    Probability up 5.5pp

    to 55¢

    MEDIUM
  • 09:00Price

    Probability down -3.5pp

    to 51¢

    MEDIUM
  • 08:00Price

    Probability down -4.0pp

    to 51¢

    MEDIUM
  • 07:00Price

    Probability down -6.0pp

    to 51¢

    MEDIUM
  • 03:00Price

    Probability up 5.5pp

    to 51¢

    MEDIUM
  • 02:00Price

    Probability up 12.0pp

    to 51¢

    MEDIUM
  • 00:00Price

    Probability up 5.0pp

    to 51¢

    MEDIUM
  • 21:00Price

    Probability up 4.0pp

    to 50¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability up 4.5pp

    to 48¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability up 5.0pp

    to 51¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability up 5.0pp

    to 51¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability up 5.0pp

    to 51¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability up 7.0pp

    to 51¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability up 7.0pp

    to 51¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability up 12.0pp

    to 51¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability up 9.5pp

    to 51¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability up 8.0pp

    to 52¢

    MEDIUM
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB·Polymarket Data

Active signals

Recent Trades

No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.

updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket Data

Market Description

This market refers to the LoL match between Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming and Deep Cross Gaming in the LCP Regular Season, initially scheduled for April 26 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming" if Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming win Game 2 against Deep Cross Gaming. This market will resolve to "Deep Cross Gaming" if Deep Cross Gaming win Game 2 against Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming. If the match begins but is not completed, and Game 2 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Game 2. If Game 2 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

Resolution & Risk

HIGH risk
End date
Apr 26, 2026
UMA status
n/a
Resolution source
https://gol.gg/esports/homeNews consensus
Market type
Binary
  • Market expires Apr 26, 2026 — dispute window active.
  • Wide spread (6.0¢) — liquidity risk on entry/exit.
Read full market rules on Polymarket

Alerts

¢
Deliver

In-app banners work now. Email / Telegram / Discord delivery lands when the backend alert dispatcher ships (needs RESEND_API_KEY + per-user webhook storage).