LoL: Spartans EU vs Team Insidious - Game 2 Winner
Probability
0¢
1h
+0.0pp
24h
+0.0pp
24h Vol
$5.1K
Liquidity
$221.5K
Resolution & Risk
HIGH risk- End date
- Apr 30, 2026
- UMA status
- proposed
- Resolution source
- Market type
- Binary
- UMA status: proposed
- Market expires Apr 30, 2026 — dispute window active.
Probability (last 7 days)
+0.0pp 7dWhy did it move?
Structured · 4 factors- 01Volume pressure
Light volume — move on a thin book
Only $5.1k traded against $221.5k of visible liquidity (0.02× turnover). Treat the move as low-confidence until volume confirms.
- 02Active signal
Resolution-risk signal firing
Expires in 1h. UMA dispute is active.
- 03Resolution proximity
Expiry in 1h
Market resolves within 72 hours — the move likely reflects information about the resolution event itself rather than longer-horizon repricing. Verify the resolution source.
- 04UMA status
UMA status: proposed
An open UMA dispute or pending oracle vote can move price independently of underlying odds. Wait for settlement before treating the line as the market view.
What to track next
- Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.
- Wait for the UMA proposal to settle (current status: proposed) — price moves now reflect oracle dynamics, not odds.
- Set an alert for resolution status changes — expiry is in 1 hours.
Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.
Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.
Resolution & Risk
HIGH risk- End date
- Apr 30, 2026
- UMA status
- proposed
- Resolution source
- Market type
- Binary
- UMA status: proposed
- Market expires Apr 30, 2026 — dispute window active.
Timeline
critical · price · trade flowCritical
- 19:10ResolveHIGH
Market resolves in 1.4h
- 17:47SignalMEDIUM
Resolution risk
Expires in 1h. UMA dispute is active.
Price movement
+0.0pp over the last 24h, now 0¢.
Active signals
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market. That usually means liquidity is thin or this market is between event windows.
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Market Description
This market refers to the LoL match between Spartans EU and Team Insidious in the HLL Regular Season, initially scheduled for April 30 at 9:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Spartans EU" if Spartans EU win Game 2 against Team Insidious. This market will resolve to "Team Insidious" if Team Insidious win Game 2 against Spartans EU. If the match begins but is not completed, and Game 2 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Game 2. If Game 2 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.
Alerts
In-app banners fire as soon as a rule is satisfied. Email, Telegram, and Discord delivery are coming soon — every existing rule will keep working without changes.