SportsExpires May 4, 2026
Creator

LoL: T1 vs HANJIN BRION - Game 1 Winner

Probability

77¢

1h

-0.5pp

24h

-4.0pp

24h Vol

$422.97

Liquidity

$9.9K

Resolution & Risk

HIGH risk
End date
May 4, 2026
UMA status
n/a
Resolution source
Primary
consensus of credible reporting
Link
gol.gg
Type
News consensus
Market type
Binary
  • Market expires May 4, 2026 — dispute window active.
  • Wide spread (5.0¢) — liquidity risk on entry/exit.
Read full market rules on Polymarket

Probability (last 7 days)

+0.0pp 7d
May 2, 2026, 11:00May 4, 2026, 06:10
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB

Why did it move?

Structured · 3 factors
  • 01
    Price move

    Down 4pp over 24h

    Now 77¢; -0.5pp in the last hour.

  • 02
    Active signal

    Resolution-risk signal firing

    Expires in 11h.

  • 03
    Spread cost

    Wide spread — 5.0¢

    Bid-ask spread is wide enough that intraday moves overstate any tradeable edge. Most of the headline pp move would be eaten by spread on a market order.

What to track next

  • Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.
  • Set an alert for resolution status changes — expiry is in 11 hours.

Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.

Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.

Timeline

critical · price · trade flow

Critical

  • 17:00Resolve

    Market resolves in 10.8h

    HIGH
  • 06:10Signal

    Resolution risk

    Expires in 11h.

    LOW

Price movement

-4.0pp over the last 24h, now 77¢.

updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB·Polymarket Data

Active signals

Recent Trades

No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market. That usually means liquidity is thin or this market is between event windows.

Open whale feedBrowse related marketsAlert me on the next trade
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket Data

Related Markets

14
Same eventLoL: T1 vs HANJIN BRION (BO3) - Esports World Cup Korea Qualifier Playoffs
Category · Sports

Market Description

This market refers to the LoL Upper bracket quarterfinal 4 match between T1 and HANJIN BRION in the Esports World Cup Korea Qualifier Playoffs, initially scheduled for May 5 at 6:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "T1" if T1 win Game 1 against HANJIN BRION. This market will resolve to "HANJIN BRION" if HANJIN BRION win Game 1 against T1. If the match begins but is not completed, and Game 1 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Game 1. If Game 1 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

Alerts

¢
Deliver

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Top Holders

6 wallets
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