LoL: Top Esports vs Ninjas in Pyjamas (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend
Probability
66¢
1h
+0.0pp
24h
+0.5pp
24h Vol
$57.4K
Liquidity
$244.8K
Probability (last 7 days)
+16.0pp 7dWhy did it move?
Heuristic summary, generated from the public market metrics above: probability movement, volume, liquidity, spread, signals, and resolution status.
Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves
- 13:00ResolveHIGH
Market resolves in 15.4h
- 21:34SignalLOW
Signal · Resolution risk
Expires in 15h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 21:34PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -3.0pp
to 66¢
- 19:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -3.0pp
to 65¢
- 23:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -3.0pp
to 65¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -3.0pp
to 65¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -3.5pp
to 64¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 5.5pp
to 72¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 11.0pp
to 72¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 10.0pp
to 71¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 9.5pp
to 71¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 6.0pp
to 72¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 6.0pp
to 72¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 6.0pp
to 72¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 5.5pp
to 72¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 5.5pp
to 72¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 5.5pp
to 72¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 5.0pp
to 72¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 4.5pp
to 72¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 15.5pp
to 72¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -4.5pp
to 70¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -7.0pp
to 69¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -7.0pp
to 69¢
- 3d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -7.5pp
to 68¢
- 3d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -7.5pp
to 68¢
- 3d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 18.5pp
to 68¢
Active signals
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.
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Market Description
This market refers to the LoL match between Top Esports and Ninjas in Pyjamas in the LPL Group Ascend, initially scheduled for April 25 at 3:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Top Esports" if Top Esports win the match against Ninjas in Pyjamas. This market will resolve to "Ninjas in Pyjamas" if Ninjas in Pyjamas win the match against Top Esports. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.
Resolution & Risk
HIGH risk- End date
- Apr 25, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- https://gol.gg/esports/homeNews consensus
- Market type
- Binary
- Market expires Apr 25, 2026 — dispute window active.
Alerts
In-app banners work now. Email / Telegram / Discord delivery lands when the backend alert dispatcher ships (needs RESEND_API_KEY + per-user webhook storage).
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